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Belarus. Cup Saleya
Belarus. Cup Saleya International
03.08.2026 17:10 UTC
Not started

Belarus. Cup Saleya

International

Shahter Soligorsk - Neman Grodno

International Hockey
Shahter Soligorsk
Shahter Soligorsk
- : -
Not started
Neman Grodno
Neman Grodno

Shahter Soligorsk go head-to-head with Neman Grodno on August 3, 2026 in the Belarus. Cup Saleya, International.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Shahter Soligorsk53%

1 · Shahter Soligorsk52.7%
2 · Neman Grodno47.3%

Model estimate: win Shahter Soligorsk 52.7%, win Neman Grodno 47.3%. Model favourite — Shahter Soligorsk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shahter Soligorsk - Neman Grodno August 3, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shahter Soligorsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.00 / X 4.40 / 2 2.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 45.8%
X 20.8%
2 33.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.80 → 1.80
1X2 X 4.50 → 4.50
1X2 P2 3.20 → 3.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 17:10 UTC
Market 1 45.8% @ 2.00 / X 20.8% @ 4.40 / 2 33.3% @ 2.75
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Shahter Soligorsk - Neman Grodno

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shahter Soligorsk 51.0% 52.7% market and model agree
Draw 20.4% -
Neman Grodno 28.7% 47.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 52.7% / 47.3% probabilities
Rating 1,651 / 1,481 Shahter Soligorsk / Neman Grodno
RD 189 / 206 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,274-2,029 / 1,069-1,894 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 Fonbet · weak value +30.2% · model 47.3%
X 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 2.00 Fonbet · weak value +5.3% · model 52.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.25 80.0%
1.20 83.3%
2.40 41.7%
2.75 36.4%
1.60 62.5%
3.50 28.6%
3.95 25.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.40 71.4%
2.20 45.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 5 1.85 54.1%
Over 5.5 2.17 46.1%
Over 6 2.85 35.1%
Over 6.5 3.30 30.3%
Over 7 4.60 21.7%
Under 4.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 5 1.85 54.1%
Under 5.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 6 1.37 73.0%
Under 6.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 7 1.15 87.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
X 4.40 22.7%
2.75 36.4%
Match center
Shahter Soligorsk
W W D L L
31.07 16:00 UTC+0 Belarus. Tournament pamyati A.Dubko. Grodno
Shahter Soligorsk 5:1 Neman GrodnoNeman Grodno
30.07 12:00 UTC+0 Belarus. Tournament pamyati A.Dubko. Grodno
Shahter Soligorsk 4:1 Yunost Minsk
28.07 11:00 UTC+0 Friendlies
Shahter Soligorsk 2:2 Admiral 🇷🇺
25.07 09:30 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Shahter Soligorsk 1:5 Brest
19.07 09:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Shahter Soligorsk 0:1 Metallurg-Zhlobin 🇧🇾
2 Wins
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Neman Grodno
L W W W
31.07 16:00 UTC+0 Belarus. Tournament pamyati A.Dubko. Grodno
Neman Grodno 1:5 Shakhter Soligorsk
30.07 16:00 UTC+0 Belarus. Tournament pamyati A.Dubko. Grodno
Neman Grodno 3:1 Dinamo-Molodechno
27.07 08:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Neman Grodno 2:1 Kaluga 🇷🇺Kaluga 🇷🇺
24.07 08:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Neman Grodno 3:2 Lida 🇧🇾Lida 🇧🇾
3 Wins
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
2.3 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyShahter Soligorsk - Neman Grodno

Shahter Soligorsk
1 matches total
Neman Grodno
Shahter Soligorsk: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Neman Grodno: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Shakhter Soligorsk 5:1 (31.07 16:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (5:1, 31.07 16:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

31.07 16:00 UTC+0 Belarus. Tournament pamyati A.Dubko. Grodno
Shakhter Soligorsk
5:1
Neman Grodno