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Belarus. Cup Saleya
Belarus. Cup Saleya International
02.08.2026 11:00 UTC
02.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Not started

Belarus. Cup Saleya

International

Slavutich Smolensk - HC Gomel

International Hockey
Slavutich Smolensk
Slavutich Smolensk
- : -
Not started
HC Gomel
HC Gomel

Slavutich Smolensk go head-to-head with HC Gomel on August 2, 2026 in the Belarus. Cup Saleya, International.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 HC Gomel — 51%

1 · Slavutich Smolensk49.3%
2 · HC Gomel50.7%

Model estimate: win Slavutich Smolensk 49.3%, win HC Gomel 50.7%. Model favourite — HC Gomel.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2HC Gomel (odds3.05) Score 2:3 Under 5.5 (odds1.73) Handicap H2 +1 (odds1.61) confidence 51%
  • • Slavutich Smolensk: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Model backs KhK Gomel: probability 51% vs 33% on the line (odds 3.05)
  • • edge over the line +18 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:3
  • • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 5.5 (odds 1.73)
  • • Handicap F2 +1: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.61).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Slavutich Smolensk - HC Gomel August 2, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Slavutich Smolensk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.00 / X 4.40 / 2 2.74

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 45.8%
X 20.8%
2 33.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.90 ↑ 2.00
1X2 X 4.20 ↑ 4.40
1X2 P2 3.05 ↓ 2.74

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Market 1 45.8% @ 2.00 / X 20.8% @ 4.40 / 2 33.4% @ 2.74
Form 2 matches
Match center

Slavutich Smolensk - HC Gomel

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Slavutich Smolensk 45.8% 49.3% market favourite
Draw 20.8% -
HC Gomel 33.4% 50.7% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 49.3% / 50.7% probabilities
Rating 1,314 / 1,500 Slavutich Smolensk / HC Gomel
RD 259 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 796-1,832 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.74 Fonbet · value +38.8% · model 50.7%
X 4.40 Fonbet · line only
1 2.00 Fonbet · no value · model 49.3%
Handicap
2 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.27 78.7%
1.23 81.3%
2.30 43.5%
2.65 37.7%
1.60 62.5%
3.40 29.4%
3.75 26.7%
1.55 64.5%
1.43 69.9%
2.20 45.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 5 1.68 59.5%
Over 5.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 6 2.50 40.0%
Over 6.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 7 4.00 25.0%
Under 4.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 5 2.05 48.8%
Under 5.5 1.73 57.8%
Under 6 1.47 68.0%
Under 6.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 7 1.20 83.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
X 4.40 22.7%
2.74 36.5%
Match center
Slavutich Smolensk
L L
19.07 14:00 UTC+0 Belarus. Friendlies
Slavutich Smolensk 3:5 KhK Vitebsk
16.07 15:00 UTC+0 Belarus. Friendlies
Slavutich Smolensk 1:2 KhK Vitebsk
0 Wins
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
HC Gomel
L L
19.07 14:00 UTC+0 Belarus. Friendlies
HC Gomel 3:5 KhK Vitebsk
16.07 15:00 UTC+0 Belarus. Friendlies
HC Gomel 1:2 KhK Vitebsk
0 Wins
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage