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Belarus. Cup Saleya
Belarus. Cup Saleya International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Belarus. Cup Saleya

International

Yunost Minsk - HC Lida

International Hockey
Yunost Minsk
Yunost Minsk
- : -
Not started
HC Lida
HC Lida

Yunost Minsk meet HC Lida on August 5, 2026 in the Belarus. Cup Saleya, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Yunost Minsk 0-0-1, HC Lida 1-0-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 HC Lida52%

1 · Yunost Minsk48.4%
2 · HC Lida51.6%

Model estimate: win Yunost Minsk 48.4%, win HC Lida 51.6%. Model favourite — HC Lida.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2HC Lida (odds2.45) Score 2:3 Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.90) confidence 50%
  • Yunost Minsk: forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • KhK Lida: forma VP (1)
  • Model backs KhK Lida: probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.45)
  • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:3
  • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yunost Minsk - HC Lida August 5, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Yunost Minsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.30 / X 4.00 / 2 2.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 39.8%
X 22.9%
2 37.4%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.30 → 2.30
1X2 X 4.00 → 4.00
1X2 P2 2.45 → 2.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 39.8% @ 2.30 / X 22.9% @ 4.00 / 2 37.3% @ 2.45
Form 5 matches
Match center

Yunost Minsk - HC Lida

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Yunost Minsk 39.8% 48.4% market favourite
Draw 22.9% -
HC Lida 37.4% 51.6% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 48.4% / 51.6% probabilities
Rating 1,063 / 1,397 Yunost Minsk / HC Lida
RD 193 / 232 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 676-1,450 / 933-1,860 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 Fonbet · value +26.5% · model 51.6%
X 4.00 Fonbet · line only
1 2.30 Fonbet · weak value +11.2% · model 48.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.95 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
1.30 76.9%
1.16 86.2%
2.75 36.4%
3.10 32.3%
1.80 55.6%
2.95 33.9%
3.30 30.3%
4.50 22.2%
1.40 71.4%
1.32 75.8%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 5 1.77 56.5%
Over 5.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 6 2.70 37.0%
Over 6.5 3.15 31.8%
Over 7 4.40 22.7%
Under 4.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 5 1.93 51.8%
Under 5.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 6 1.40 71.4%
Under 6.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 7 1.17 85.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.30 43.5%
X 4.00 25.0%
2.45 40.8%
Match center
Yunost Minsk
L
03.08 14:55 UTC Hockey. Belarus. Cup R.Saleya
Yunost Minsk 1:4 KhK Brest
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
HC Lida
W
03.08 16:00 UTC Hockey. Belarus. Cup R.Saleya
HC Lida 2:1 KhK Aviator Baranovichi
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyYunost Minsk - HC Lida

Yunost Minsk
0 matches total
HC Lida
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history