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Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup
Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup International
30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup

Rytsari Lida - Medvedi Vitebsk

International Hockey
Rytsari Lida
Rytsari Lida
- : -
Not started
Medvedi Vitebsk
Medvedi Vitebsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Medvedi Vitebsk51%

1 · Rytsari Lida49.0%
2 · Medvedi Vitebsk51.0%

Model estimate: win Rytsari Lida 49.0%, win Medvedi Vitebsk 51.0%. Model favourite — Medvedi Vitebsk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Medvedi Vitebsk (odds2.97) Score 2:3 Under 6 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +1 (odds1.65) confidence 51%
  • Rytsari Lida: forma pp (0-2)
  • Model backs Medvedi Vitebsk: probability 51% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.97)
  • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:3
  • Total: Under 6: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 6 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F2 +1: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.65).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rytsari Lida - Medvedi Vitebsk July 30, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rytsari Lida. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / X 4.30 / 2 2.97

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.0%
1 48.7%
X 21.0%
2 30.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.85 → 1.85
1X2 X 4.30 → 4.30
1X2 P2 2.97 → 2.97

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Form 2 matches
Match center

Rytsari Lida - Medvedi Vitebsk

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rytsari Lida 48.7% 49.0% market favourite
Draw 21.0% -
Medvedi Vitebsk 30.3% 51.0% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 49.0% / 51.0% probabilities
Rating 1,242 / 1,500 Rytsari Lida / Medvedi Vitebsk
RD 257 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 729-1,756 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.97 Fonbet · weak value +51.4% · model 51.0%
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 49.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.65 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 5 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.25 80.0%
2.10 47.6%
2.35 42.6%
2.95 33.9%
3.30 30.3%
1.50 66.7%
3.65 27.4%
1.65 60.6%
1.53 65.4%
1.35 74.1%
1.30 76.9%
2.40 41.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 5 1.38 72.5%
Over 5.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 6 1.85 54.1%
Over 6.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 7 2.75 36.4%
Under 4.5 3.20 31.3%
Under 5 2.80 35.7%
Under 5.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 6 1.85 54.1%
Under 6.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 7 1.40 71.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
X 4.30 23.3%
2.97 33.7%
Match center
Rytsari Lida
L L
17.07 09:30 UTC+0 Hockey. Belarus. Tovarischeskiy Tournament
Rytsari Lida 1:2 Yunior Minsk
16.07 16:15 UTC+0 Hockey. Belarus. Tovarischeskiy Tournament
Rytsari Lida 1:4 Progress Grodno
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Medvedi Vitebsk
L L
17.07 09:30 UTC+0 Hockey. Belarus. Tovarischeskiy Tournament
Medvedi Vitebsk 1:2 Yunior Minsk
16.07 16:15 UTC+0 Hockey. Belarus. Tovarischeskiy Tournament
Medvedi Vitebsk 1:4 Progress Grodno
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage