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Belarus. Tournament in memory of A. Dubko. Grodno
Belarus. Tournament in memory of A. Dubko. Grodno International
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Belarus. Tournament in memory of A. Dubko. Grodno

Neman Grodno - Shahter Soligorsk

International Hockey
N
Neman Grodno
- : -
Not started
Shahter Soligorsk
Shahter Soligorsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Neman Grodno — 52%

1 · Neman Grodno52.4%
2 · Shahter Soligorsk47.6%

Model estimate: win Neman Grodno 52.4%, win Shahter Soligorsk 47.6%. Model favourite — Neman Grodno.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Neman Grodno (odds2.25) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds1.72) Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.85) confidence 52%
  • • Neman Grodno: forma VVV (3-0)
  • • Shakhter Soligorsk: forma VNPPP (1-3-1)
  • • Model backs Neman Grodno: probability 52% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 5.5 (odds 1.72)
  • • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Neman Grodno - Shahter Soligorsk July 31, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shahter Soligorsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / X 4.50 / 2 2.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 12.1%
1 39.6%
X 19.8%
2 40.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.25 → 2.25
1X2 X 4.50 → 4.50
1X2 P2 2.20 → 2.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Neman Grodno - Shahter Soligorsk

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Neman Grodno 39.6% 52.4% Glicko contrarian
Draw 19.8% -
Shahter Soligorsk 40.5% 47.6% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 52.4% / 47.6% probabilities
Rating 1,701 / 1,477 Neman Grodno / Shahter Soligorsk
RD 226 / 202 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,248-2,153 / 1,072-1,881 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 Fonbet · weak value +4.7% · model 47.6%
X 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 2.25 Fonbet · value +17.9% · model 52.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.65 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.42 70.4%
1.35 74.1%
1.19 84.0%
2.70 37.0%
3.00 33.3%
1.85 54.1%
2.65 37.7%
2.95 33.9%
4.15 24.1%
1.40 71.4%
1.33 75.2%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 5 1.68 59.5%
Over 5.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 6 2.50 40.0%
Over 6.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 7 4.00 25.0%
Under 4.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 5 2.05 48.8%
Under 5.5 1.72 58.1%
Under 6 1.47 68.0%
Under 6.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 7 1.20 83.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.25 44.4%
X 4.50 22.2%
2.20 45.5%
Match center
Neman Grodno
W
30.07 16:00 UTC Belarus. Tournament pamyati A.Dubko. Grodno
Neman Grodno 3:1 Dinamo-Molodechno
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Shahter Soligorsk
W
30.07 12:00 UTC Belarus. Tournament pamyati A.Dubko. Grodno
Shahter Soligorsk 4:1 Yunost Minsk
1 Wins
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage