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Belarus. Tournament pamyati A.Dubko. Grodno
Belarus. Tournament pamyati A.Dubko. Grodno International
30.07.2026 12:00 UTC
30.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Not started

Belarus. Tournament pamyati A.Dubko. Grodno

Yunost Minsk - Shahter Soligorsk

International Hockey
Yunost Minsk
Yunost Minsk
- : -
Not started
Shahter Soligorsk
Shahter Soligorsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Shahter Soligorsk — 50%

1 · Yunost Minsk49.6%
2 · Shahter Soligorsk50.4%

Model estimate: win Yunost Minsk 49.6%, win Shahter Soligorsk 50.4%. Model favourite — Shahter Soligorsk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Shahter Soligorsk (odds2.97) Score 2:3 Handicap H2 +1 (odds1.62) confidence 50%
  • • Yunost Minsk: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Shakhter Soligorsk: forma NPPP (0-3-1)
  • • Model backs Shakhter Soligorsk: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.97)
  • • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:3
  • • Handicap F2 +1: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.62).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yunost Minsk - Shahter Soligorsk July 30, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Yunost Minsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / X 4.30 / 2 2.97

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.0%
1 48.7%
X 21.0%
2 30.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.85 → 1.85
1X2 X 4.30 → 4.30
1X2 P2 2.97 → 2.97

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

Yunost Minsk - Shahter Soligorsk

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Yunost Minsk 48.7% 49.6% market favourite
Draw 21.0% -
Shahter Soligorsk 30.3% 50.4% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 49.6% / 50.4% probabilities
Rating 1,267 / 1,371 Yunost Minsk / Shahter Soligorsk
RD 255 / 226 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 758-1,776 / 919-1,824 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.97 Fonbet · value +49.6% · model 50.4%
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 49.6%
Handicap
2 -1 1.62 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.22 82.0%
1.19 84.0%
2.15 46.5%
2.50 40.0%
1.50 66.7%
3.80 26.3%
4.20 23.8%
1.62 61.7%
1.47 68.0%
2.40 41.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 5 1.85 54.1%
Over 5.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 6 2.90 34.5%
Over 6.5 3.35 29.9%
Over 7 4.70 21.3%
Under 4.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 5 1.85 54.1%
Under 5.5 1.58 63.3%
Under 6 1.35 74.1%
Under 6.5 1.28 78.1%
Under 7 1.15 87.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
X 4.30 23.3%
2.97 33.7%
Match center
Yunost Minsk
L L
25.07 11:00 UTC+0 Friendlies
Yunost Minsk 0:2 Admiral 🇷🇺
22.07 10:30 UTC+0 Belarus. Friendlies
Yunost Minsk 2:3 Khimik Novopolotsk
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Shahter Soligorsk
D L L L
28.07 11:00 UTC+0 Friendlies
Shahter Soligorsk 2:2 Admiral 🇷🇺
25.07 09:30 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Shahter Soligorsk 1:5 Brest 🇧🇾
19.07 09:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Shahter Soligorsk 0:1 Metallurg-Zhlobin 🇧🇾
15.07 08:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Shahter Soligorsk 2:3 Yunost Minsk 🇧🇾
0 Wins
3 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.8 Conceded
0% Win percentage