Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup
Rytsari Lida - Medvedi Vitebsk
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Rytsari Lida — 52%
Model estimate: win Rytsari Lida 51.6%, win Medvedi Vitebsk 48.4%. Model favourite — Rytsari Lida.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Rytsari Lida: forma VPP (1-2)
- • Medvedi Vitebsk: forma P (0-1)
- • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
- • Model backs Rytsari Lida: probability 50% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
- • no edge over the line (-17 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 3:2
- • Total: Under 6: model expects a total of ~5 goals
- • at line 6 (odds 1.93)
- • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.87).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rytsari Lida - Medvedi Vitebsk August 1, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / X 5.00 / 2 4.13
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Rytsari Lida - Medvedi Vitebsk
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.14 87.7% | |
| 1.62 61.7% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | |
| 5.00 20.0% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.62 61.7% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 3.35 29.9% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 6 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 7 | 2.60 38.5% |
| Under 4.5 | 3.40 29.4% |
| Under 5 | 3.00 33.3% |
| Under 5.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Under 6 | 1.93 51.8% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 7 | 1.45 69.0% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| X | 5.00 20.0% |
| 4.13 24.2% |
Rytsari Lida
Medvedi Vitebsk
Full head-to-head historyRytsari Lida - Medvedi Vitebsk
Overall statistics
Match history
Medvedi Vitebsk
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form