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Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup
Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup International
01.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Not started

Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup

Rytsari Lida - Medvedi Vitebsk

International Hockey
Rytsari Lida
Rytsari Lida
- : -
Not started
Medvedi Vitebsk
Medvedi Vitebsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rytsari Lida52%

1 · Rytsari Lida51.6%
2 · Medvedi Vitebsk48.4%

Model estimate: win Rytsari Lida 51.6%, win Medvedi Vitebsk 48.4%. Model favourite — Rytsari Lida.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rytsari Lida (odds1.50) Score 3:2 Under 6 (odds1.93) Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds1.87) confidence 50%
  • Rytsari Lida: forma VPP (1-2)
  • Medvedi Vitebsk: forma P (0-1)
  • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • Model backs Rytsari Lida: probability 50% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • no edge over the line (-17 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 3:2
  • Total: Under 6: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 6 (odds 1.93)
  • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.87).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rytsari Lida - Medvedi Vitebsk August 1, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rytsari Lida. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / X 5.00 / 2 4.13

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 60.1%
X 18.0%
2 21.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.50 → 1.50
1X2 X 5.00 → 5.00
1X2 P2 4.13 → 4.13

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 10:30 UTC
Market 1 60.1% @ 1.50 / X 18.0% @ 5.00 / 2 21.8% @ 4.13
Form 4 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Rytsari Lida - Medvedi Vitebsk

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rytsari Lida 60.1% 51.6% market and model agree
Draw 18.0% -
Medvedi Vitebsk 21.8% 48.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 51.6% / 48.4% probabilities
Rating 1,440 / 1,143 Rytsari Lida / Medvedi Vitebsk
RD 234 / 287 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 972-1,908 / 569-1,717 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.13 Fonbet · weak value +100.1% · model 48.4%
X 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 51.6%
Handicap
2 -1 2.15 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.35 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Over 5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.14 87.7%
1.62 61.7%
1.83 54.6%
2.15 46.5%
2.45 40.8%
1.27 78.7%
5.00 20.0%
2.15 46.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.62 61.7%
1.48 67.6%
3.35 29.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 1.27 78.7%
Over 5 1.35 74.1%
Over 5.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 6 1.77 56.5%
Over 6.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 7 2.60 38.5%
Under 4.5 3.40 29.4%
Under 5 3.00 33.3%
Under 5.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 6 1.93 51.8%
Under 6.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 7 1.45 69.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
X 5.00 20.0%
4.13 24.2%
Match center
Rytsari Lida
W
30.07 14:00 UTC Belarus. Cup V.Tsyplakova
Rytsari Lida 5:2 Medvedi Vitebsk
1 Wins
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Medvedi Vitebsk
L
30.07 14:00 UTC Belarus. Cup V.Tsyplakova
Medvedi Vitebsk 2:5 Rytsari Lida
0 Wins
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRytsari Lida - Medvedi Vitebsk

Rytsari Lida
1 matches total
Medvedi Vitebsk
Rytsari Lida: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Medvedi Vitebsk: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Rytsari Lida 5:2 (30.07 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (5:2, 30.07 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 5

Match history

30.07 14:00 UTC Belarus. Cup V.Tsyplakova
Rytsari Lida
5:2
Medvedi Vitebsk