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Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup International

30.07.2026 14:00 UTC

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Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup

Yunior Minsk - Progress Grodno

International Hockey

Yunior Minsk

- : -

Not started

Progress Grodno

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Yunior Minsk — 51%

1 · Yunior Minsk51.1%

2 · Progress Grodno48.9%

Model estimate: win Yunior Minsk 51.1%, win Progress Grodno 48.9%. Model favourite — Yunior Minsk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Yunior Minsk (odds1.85) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds1.80) confidence 51%

• Yunior Minsk: forma VV (2-0)
• Progress Grodno: forma PV (1)
• ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
• liniya na pik P1 1.90→1.85 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs Yunior Minsk: probability 51% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
• no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 3:2
• Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
• at line 5.5 (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Yunior Minsk - Progress Grodno July 30, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Yunior Minsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.80 / X 4.30 / 2 3.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.1%

1 50.0%

X 20.9%

2 29.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.90 ↓ 1.80

1X2 X 4.40 ↓ 4.30

1X2 P2 2.80 ↑ 3.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 14:00 UTC

Form 4 matches

H2H 1

Match center

Yunior Minsk - Progress Grodno

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament espn, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report

Referees Championat

Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Yunior Minsk 50.0% 51.1% market and model agree

Draw 20.9% -

Progress Grodno 29.0% 48.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model

P1 / P2 51.1% / 48.9% probabilities

Rating 1,705 / 1,567 Yunior Minsk / Progress Grodno

RD 250 / 252 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,206-2,205 / 1,063-2,071 strength interval

HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.10 Fonbet · weak value +51.6% · model 48.9%

X 4.30 Fonbet · line only

1 1.80 Fonbet · no value · model 51.1%

Handicap

2 -1 1.68 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 3.90 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 4.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Over 5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.20 83.3%
	1.18 84.8%
	1.13 88.5%
	2.05 48.8%
	2.30 43.5%
	1.47 68.0%
	3.90 25.6%
	4.20 23.8%
	5.20 19.2%
	1.68 59.5%
	1.55 64.5%
	2.50 40.0%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 4.5	1.45 69.0%
Over 5	1.60 62.5%
Over 5.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 6	2.35 42.6%
Over 6.5	2.75 36.4%
Over 7	3.70 27.0%
Under 4.5	2.55 39.2%
Under 5	2.20 45.5%
Under 5.5	1.80 55.6%
Under 6	1.53 65.4%
Under 6.5	1.40 71.4%
Under 7	1.23 81.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.80 55.6%
X	4.30 23.3%
	3.10 32.3%

Match center

Yunior Minsk

W W

18.07 13:30 UTC+0 Hockey. Belarus. Tovarischeskiy Tournament

Yunior Minsk 3:2 Progress Grodno

17.07 09:30 UTC+0 Hockey. Belarus. Tovarischeskiy Tournament

Yunior Minsk 2:1 Rytsari Lida

2 Wins

0 Losses

2.5 Scored

1.5 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Progress Grodno

L W

18.07 13:30 UTC+0 Hockey. Belarus. Tovarischeskiy Tournament

Progress Grodno 2:3 Yunior Minsk

16.07 16:15 UTC+0 Hockey. Belarus. Tovarischeskiy Tournament

Progress Grodno 4:1 Rytsari Lida

1 Wins

1 Losses

3.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyYunior Minsk - Progress Grodno

Yunior Minsk

1 matches total

Progress Grodno

Yunior Minsk: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Progress Grodno: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Yunior Minsk 3:2 (18.07 13:30 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 18.07 13:30 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

18.07 13:30 UTC+0 Hockey. Belarus. Tovarischeskiy Tournament

Yunior Minsk

3:2

Progress Grodno