AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Shanghai Dragons. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
30.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Match prediction
Khokkey. Cup Mera Moskvy
Ak Bars host Shanghai Dragons in ice hockey, in Khokkey. Cup Mera Moskvy, on 30 August 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Shanghai Dragons the favourite, with a win probability of about 47%. The bookmaker consensus (1 book) implies about 33% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 12%.
Recent form reads: Ak Bars have 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost of their last 5; Shanghai Dragons have 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost of 5. Ak Bars arrive on a winning run. Glicko ratings: Ak Bars 1494, Shanghai Dragons 1717, a gap of 224 points.
Our model is notably more confident in the favourite than the market. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 14-point gap to the market. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 224 Glicko rating points, the model's 47% for Shanghai Dragons. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Shanghai Dragons — 47%
Model estimate: win Ak Bars 41.5%, win Shanghai Dragons 46.6%. Model favourite — Shanghai Dragons.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and formHead-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.37 73.0% | |
| 1.08 92.6% | |
| 1.15 87.0% | |
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| 1.09 91.7% | |
| 3.90 25.6% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| 3.00 33.3% | |
| 7.10 14.1% | |
| 4.50 22.2% | |
| 6.80 14.7% | |
| 1.47 68.0% | |
| 6.60 15.2% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 3.75 26.7% | |
| 4.50 22.2% | |
| 4.20 23.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 4 | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 4.5 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Over 5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 4.50 22.2% |
| Over 6 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 6.5 | 7.50 13.3% |
| Over 7 | 3.65 27.4% |
| Over 7.5 | 4.05 24.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 3.75 26.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Under 4 | 3.65 27.4% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Under 5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Under 6 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.09 91.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| X | 15.00 6.7% |
| 65.00 1.5% |
Ak Bars
Spartak
Shanghai Dragons
Torpedo NN
Full head-to-head history: Ak Bars - Shanghai Dragons
The Ak Bars - Shanghai Dragons breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Shanghai Dragons is favoured — about 47% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Shanghai Dragons. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Ak Bars vs Shanghai Dragons from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
August 30, 2026.
Match markets