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Czech. U20. Friendly
Czech. U20. Friendly International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 15:45 UTC
Not started

Czech. U20. Friendly

Mountfield HK U20 - Kolin U20

International Hockey
Mountfield HK U20
Mountfield HK U20
- : -
Not started
Kolin U20
Kolin U20

Mountfield HK U20 take on Kolin U20 on August 4, 2026 in the Czech. U20. Friendly, International.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mountfield HK U2050%

1 · Mountfield HK U2050.2%
2 · Kolin U2049.8%

Model estimate: win Mountfield HK U20 50.2%, win Kolin U20 49.8%. Model favourite — Mountfield HK U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mountfield HK U20 (odds1.30) Score 3:2 Under 6.5 (odds2.10) Handicap H2 +2.5 (odds1.63) confidence 50%
  • Vitkovitse U20 🇨🇿: forma P (0-1)
  • Model backs Mauntfild GK U20: probability 50% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • no edge over the line (-27 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 3:2
  • Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 6.5 (odds 2.10)
  • Handicap F2 +2.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.63).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mountfield HK U20 - Kolin U20 August 4, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mountfield HK U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / X 6.10 / 2 5.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 69.4%
X 14.8%
2 15.8%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.30 → 1.30
1X2 X 6.10 → 6.10
1X2 P2 5.70 → 5.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 15:45 UTC
Market 1 69.4% @ 1.30 / X 14.8% @ 6.10 / 2 15.8% @ 5.70
Form 1 matches
Match center

Mountfield HK U20 - Kolin U20

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form espn, Flashscore, Championat
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mountfield HK U20 69.4% 50.2% market and model agree
Draw 14.8% -
Kolin U20 15.8% 49.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.2% / 49.8% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Mountfield HK U20 / Kolin U20
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.70 Fonbet · weak value +183.8% · model 49.8%
X 6.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 50.2%
Total
Over 6.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 6.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.15 46.5%
1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 6.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 6.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.30 76.9%
X 6.10 16.4%
5.70 17.5%
Match center
Mountfield HK U20
L
31.07 14:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Mountfield HK U20 3:4 Trshinets U20 🇨🇿Trshinets U20 🇨🇿
0 Wins
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Kolin U20
L
31.07 14:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
Kolin U20 3:4 Trshinets U20 🇨🇿Trshinets U20 🇨🇿
0 Wins
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage