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ECHL
ECHL USA
05.05.2026 23:00 UTC Divisional Round
Finished

ECHL

USA

Maine Mariners - Adirondack Thunder

USA Hockey
Maine Mariners
Maine Mariners
1 : 2
Finished
Adirondack Thunder
Adirondack Thunder

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Maine Mariners - Adirondack Thunder May 5, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Maine Mariners. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.92 / X 4.60 / 2 2.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 48.1%
X 20.1%
2 31.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.05.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Maine Mariners - Adirondack Thunder

ECHL

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 Fonbet · line only
X 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.92 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet
1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.60 21.7%
2.93 34.1% 2.90 34.5%
Match center
Maine Mariners
L W W
02.05 23:00 UTC ECHL
Maine Mariners 2:3 Adirondack Thunder
01.05 23:00 UTC ECHL
Maine Mariners 5:4 Adirondack Thunder
29.04 23:00 UTC ECHL
Maine Mariners 5:2 Adirondack Thunder
2 Wins
1 Losses
4.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Adirondack Thunder
W L L
02.05 23:00 UTC ECHL
Adirondack Thunder 3:2 Maine Mariners
01.05 23:00 UTC ECHL
Adirondack Thunder 4:5 Maine Mariners
29.04 23:00 UTC ECHL
Adirondack Thunder 2:5 Maine Mariners
1 Wins
2 Losses
3.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMaine Mariners - Adirondack Thunder

Maine Mariners
3 matches total
Adirondack Thunder
Maine Mariners: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Adirondack Thunder: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Maine Mariners 5:2 (29.04 23:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 9 goals (5:4, 01.05 23:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

12 Goals scored 9
9 Goals conceded 12

Match history

02.05 23:00 UTC ECHL
Maine Mariners
2:3
Adirondack Thunder
01.05 23:00 UTC ECHL
Maine Mariners
5:4
Adirondack Thunder
29.04 23:00 UTC ECHL
Maine Mariners
5:2
Adirondack Thunder