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Finland. U20. Friendly
Finland. U20. Friendly International
05.08.2026 15:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 15:30 UTC
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Finland. U20. Friendly

Tappara U20 - Ilves U20

International Hockey
Tappara U20
Tappara U20
- : -
Not started
Ilves U20
Ilves U20

Tappara U20 take on Ilves U20 on August 5, 2026 in the Finland. U20. Friendly, International.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Tappara U20 — 50%

1 · Tappara U2050.2%
2 · Ilves U2049.8%

Model estimate: win Tappara U20 50.2%, win Ilves U20 49.8%. Model favourite — Tappara U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tappara U20 (odds2.95) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds2.10) Handicap H1 +1 (odds1.57) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Tappara U20: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.95)
  • • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 5.5 (odds 2.10)
  • • Handicap F1 +1: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.57).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tappara U20 - Ilves U20 August 5, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ilves U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.75 / X 4.20 / 2 1.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.5%
1 32.6%
X 21.4%
2 46.0%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.95 → 2.95
1X2 X 4.50 → 4.50
1X2 P2 1.82 → 1.82

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Market 1 32.6% @ 2.75 / X 21.4% @ 4.20 / 2 46.0% @ 1.95
Match center

Tappara U20 - Ilves U20

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form espn, Flashscore, Championat
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tappara U20 30.5% 50.2% Glicko contrarian
Draw 20.0% -
Ilves U20 49.5% 49.8% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.2% / 49.8% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Tappara U20 / Ilves U20
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 Fonbet · no value · model 49.8%
X 4.20 Fonbet · line only
1 2.75 Fonbet · value +38.1% · model 50.2%
Handicap
2 +1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.57 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 5.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 5.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.57 63.7%
2.20 45.5%
2.25 44.4%
1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 5.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 5.5 2.10 47.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.75 36.4%
X 4.20 23.8%
1.95 51.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTappara U20 - Ilves U20

Tappara U20
0 matches total
Ilves U20
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history