Fonbet KHL. Gagarin Cup. Tournament outrights
HC Lida go head-to-head with HC Kaluga on August 1, 2026 in the Fonbet KHL. Gagarin Cup. Tournament outrights, International.
Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 HC Lida — 50%
Model estimate: win HC Lida 50.2%, win HC Kaluga 49.8%. Model favourite — HC Lida.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 3.25 30.8% | |
| 3.60 27.8% | |
| 5.00 20.0% | |
| 5.60 17.9% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| 3.45 29.0% | |
| 3.45 29.0% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 1.62 61.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 4 | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 6 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.75 36.4% |
| Over 7 | 3.70 27.0% |
| Over 7.5 | 4.10 24.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 4.30 23.3% |
| Under 4 | 3.75 26.7% |
| Under 4.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Under 5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 6 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Under 7 | 1.23 81.3% |
| Under 7.5 | 1.19 84.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| X | 4.50 22.2% |
| 2.00 50.0% |
Full head-to-head historyHC Lida - HC Kaluga
The HC Lida - HC Kaluga breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
