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Start
20.05.2026 14:20 UTC
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20.05.2026 14:20 UTC
World Championship, Group B
Finished
IIHF World Championship
Czechia - Italy
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Czechia - Italy May 20, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Czechia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 2.08 / 2 15.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 50.9%
1
63.7%
X
31.9%
2
4.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Czechia - Italy
IIHF World Championship
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
2.08
Fonbet · line only
1
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
6.80
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.09
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Over 3.5
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 2.05 48.8% | |
| 3.50 28.6% | |
| 3.55 28.2% | |
| 3.45 29.0% | |
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| 1.09 91.7% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 1.28 78.1% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 6.80 14.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 4.5 | 4.30 23.3% |
| Over 5.5 | 3.80 26.3% |
| Over 6.5 | 3.85 26.0% |
| Over 7.5 | 3.45 29.0% |
| Over 8.5 | 5.10 19.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 2.75 36.4% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Under 7.5 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Under 8.5 | 1.11 90.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| X | 2.08 48.1% |
| 15.00 6.7% |
Match center
Czechia
W
L
W
Czechia
4:3
Sweden
Sweden
Czechia
2:3
Slovenia
Slovenia
Czechia
4:1
Denmark
Denmark
2
Wins
1
Losses
3.3
Scored
2.3
Conceded
67%
Win percentage
Italy
L
L
L
Italy
0:4
Norway
Norway
Italy
1:4
Slovakia
Slovakia
Italy
0:6
Canada
Canada
0
Wins
3
Losses
0.3
Scored
4.7
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCzechia - Italy
Czechia
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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