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IIHF World Championship
IIHF World Championship International
World Championship, Group A 20.05.2026 18:20 UTC Match prediction
20.05.2026 18:20 UTC World Championship, Group A
Finished

IIHF World Championship

USA - Germany

International Hockey
USA
USA
4 : 3
Finished
Germany
Germany

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction USA - Germany May 20, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.30 / X 1.40 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 22.0%
X 67.5%
2 10.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: USA

Main outcome USA
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 20.05.2026 18:20 UTC
Match center

USA - Germany

IIHF World Championship

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 4:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Over 4 1.16 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
7.50 13.3%
1.80 55.6%
4.20 23.8%
2.80 35.7%
8.00 12.5%
4.90 20.4%
3.60 27.8%
9.00 11.1%
2.70 37.0%
1.07 93.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.20 83.3%
1.40 71.4%
1.06 94.3%
1.16 86.2%
1.07 93.5%
2.85 35.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.06 94.3%
Over 4 1.16 86.2%
Over 4.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 5 1.43 69.9%
Over 5.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 6 1.95 51.3%
Over 6.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 7 2.95 33.9%
Over 7.5 3.95 25.3%
Over 8 4.80 20.8%
Over 8.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 9.5 7.20 13.9%
Under 3.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 4 4.90 20.4%
Under 4.5 6.40 15.6%
Under 5 2.70 37.0%
Under 5.5 4.40 22.7%
Under 6 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
4.30 23.3%
X 1.40 71.4%
9.00 11.1%
Match center
USA
L W L
18.05 14:20 UTC IIHF World Championship
USA 2:6 FinlandFinland
17.05 10:20 UTC IIHF World Championship
USA 5:1 Great BritainGreat Britain
15.05 18:20 UTC IIHF World Championship
USA 1:3 SwitzerlandSwitzerland
1 Wins
2 Losses
2.7 Scored
3.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Germany
L L L
18.05 18:20 UTC IIHF World Championship
Germany 1:6 SwitzerlandSwitzerland
17.05 18:20 UTC IIHF World Championship
Germany 0:2 Latvia
15.05 14:20 UTC IIHF World Championship
Germany 1:3 FinlandFinland
0 Wins
3 Losses
0.7 Scored
3.7 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUSA - Germany

USA
0 matches total
Germany
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history