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New Zealand. Women. NZWIHL. 3rd place
New Zealand. Women. NZWIHL. 3rd place International
01.08.2026 21:45 UTC
01.08.2026 21:45 UTC
Not started

New Zealand. Women. NZWIHL. 3rd place

International

Canterbury Inferno (w) - Dunedin Thunder (w)

International Hockey
Canterbury Inferno (w)
Canterbury Inferno (w)
- : -
Not started
Dunedin Thunder (w)
Dunedin Thunder (w)

Canterbury Inferno (w) go head-to-head with Dunedin Thunder (w) on August 1, 2026 in the New Zealand. Women. NZWIHL. 3rd place, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Canterbury Inferno (w) 0-0-3, Dunedin Thunder (w) 0-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Dunedin Thunder (w) — 51%

1 · Canterbury Inferno (w)49.3%
2 · Dunedin Thunder (w)50.7%

Model estimate: win Canterbury Inferno (w) 49.3%, win Dunedin Thunder (w) 50.7%. Model favourite — Dunedin Thunder (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dunedin Thunder (w) (odds1.25) Score 2:3 Under 6.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H1 +2.5 (odds1.90) confidence 51%
  • • Kenterberi Inferno (zh): forma PPP (0-3)
  • • Danidin Tander (zh): forma pp (0-2)
  • • Model backs Danidin Tander (zh): probability 51% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
  • • no edge over the line (-29 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:3
  • • Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 6.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 +2.5: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Canterbury Inferno (w) - Dunedin Thunder (w) August 1, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dunedin Thunder (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / X 6.10 / 2 1.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 12.4%
X 14.9%
2 72.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 9.00 ↓ 7.30
1X2 X 7.10 ↓ 6.10
1X2 P2 1.16 ↑ 1.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 21:45 UTC
Market 1 12.4% @ 7.30 / X 14.9% @ 6.10 / 2 72.7% @ 1.25
Form 5 matches
Match center

Canterbury Inferno (w) - Dunedin Thunder (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Canterbury Inferno (w) 12.4% 49.3%
Draw 14.9% -
Dunedin Thunder (w) 72.7% 50.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 49.3% / 50.7% probabilities
Rating 1,166 / 1,320 Canterbury Inferno (w) / Dunedin Thunder (w)
RD 250 / 253 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 666-1,666 / 813-1,827 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 50.7%
X 6.10 Fonbet · line only
1 7.30 Fonbet · weak value +260.1% · model 49.3%
Total
Over 6.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 6.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 6.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 6.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.30 13.7%
X 6.10 16.4%
1.25 80.0%
Match center
Canterbury Inferno (w)
L L L
31.07 23:15 UTC New Zealand. Women. NZWIHL
Canterbury Inferno (w) 0:1 Oklend Stil (zh)
18.07 04:30 UTC New Zealand. Women. NZWIHL
Canterbury Inferno (w) 3:6 Oklend Stil (zh)
11.07 05:00 UTC New Zealand. Women. NZWIHL
Canterbury Inferno (w) 1:4 Uakatipu Uayld (zh)
0 Wins
3 Losses
1.3 Scored
3.7 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Dunedin Thunder (w)
L L
01.08 04:45 UTC New Zealand. Women. NZWIHL
Dunedin Thunder (w) 1:5 Uakatipu Uayld (zh)
25.07 06:00 UTC New Zealand. Women. NZWIHL
Dunedin Thunder (w) 1:2 Oklend Stil (zh)
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage