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NHL
NHL USA
18.05.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction
18.05.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

NHL

USA

Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens

USA Hockey
Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo Sabres
2 : 3
Finished
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens May 18, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 12.00 / X 1.10 / 2 13.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 7.8%
X 85.0%
2 7.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Buffalo Sabres

Main outcome Buffalo Sabres
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 54.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Buffalo Sabres
#4109 ptsGP 8250-9-23
Montreal Canadiens
#6106 ptsGP 8248-10-24

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Buffalo Sabres
6-4LWWLLWWWWL
scored 3.4conceded 3.0
Montreal Canadiens
7-3WWWWLWWLWL
scored 2.8conceded 2.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 18.05.2026 23:30 UTC
Match center

Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.42 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Over 3.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
1.05 95.2%
1.17 85.5%
2.65 37.7%
8.00 12.5%
4.05 24.7%
4.80 20.8%
2.90 34.5%
8.50 11.8%
4.40 22.7%
5.70 17.5%
4.50 22.2%
6.60 15.2%
1.42 70.4%
1.05 95.2%
1.20 83.3%
1.15 87.0%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.07 93.5%
Over 3.5 1.19 84.0%
Over 4 1.20 83.3%
Over 4.5 5.30 18.9%
Over 5 1.58 63.3%
Over 5.5 6.90 14.5%
Over 6 2.25 44.4%
Over 6.5 6.20 16.1%
Over 7 3.50 28.6%
Over 7.5 7.20 13.9%
Over 8.5 5.10 19.6%
Under 2.5 7.80 12.8%
Under 3.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 4 3.95 25.3%
Under 4.5 1.14 87.7%
Under 5 2.30 43.5%
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7%
Under 6 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
12.00 8.3%
X 1.10 90.9%
13.00 7.7%
Match center
Buffalo Sabres
W L W L L
17.05 00:00 UTC NHL
Buffalo Sabres 8:3 Montreal CanadiensMontreal Canadiens
14.05 23:00 UTC NHL
Buffalo Sabres 3:6 Montreal CanadiensMontreal Canadiens
12.05 23:00 UTC NHL
Buffalo Sabres 3:2 Montreal CanadiensMontreal Canadiens
10.05 23:00 UTC NHL
Buffalo Sabres 2:6 Montreal CanadiensMontreal Canadiens
08.05 23:00 UTC NHL
Buffalo Sabres 1:5 Montreal CanadiensMontreal Canadiens
2 Wins
3 Losses
3.4 Scored
4.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Montreal Canadiens
L W L W W
17.05 00:00 UTC NHL
Montreal Canadiens 3:8 Buffalo SabresBuffalo Sabres
14.05 23:00 UTC NHL
Montreal Canadiens 6:3 Buffalo SabresBuffalo Sabres
12.05 23:00 UTC NHL
Montreal Canadiens 2:3 Buffalo SabresBuffalo Sabres
10.05 23:00 UTC NHL
Montreal Canadiens 6:2 Buffalo SabresBuffalo Sabres
08.05 23:00 UTC NHL
Montreal Canadiens 5:1 Buffalo SabresBuffalo Sabres
3 Wins
2 Losses
4.4 Scored
3.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBuffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens

Buffalo Sabres
3 matches total
Montreal Canadiens
Buffalo Sabres: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Montreal Canadiens: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Buffalo Sabres 8:3 (17.05 00:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 11 goals (8:3, 17.05 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

14 Goals scored 11
11 Goals conceded 14

Match history

17.05 00:00 UTC NHL
Buffalo Sabres
8:3
Montreal Canadiens
14.05 23:00 UTC NHL
Buffalo Sabres
3:6
Montreal Canadiens
12.05 23:00 UTC NHL
Buffalo Sabres
3:2
Montreal Canadiens