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NHL USA

quarter-final. 4 match 12.05.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction

12.05.2026 23:00 UTC quarter-final. 4 match

Finished

NHL

Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres

USA Hockey

Montreal Canadiens

2 : 3

Finished

Buffalo Sabres

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres May 12, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Montreal Canadiens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / X 4.30 / 2 2.80
Total 2.5: over probability 0.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%

1 44.1%

X 22.0%

2 33.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 5/6

Confidence 56.7%

Total Under 2.5

Score 1:1

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Montreal Canadiens

#6106 ptsGP 8248-10-24

Buffalo Sabres

#4109 ptsGP 8250-9-23

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Montreal Canadiens

7-3WWWWLWWLWL

scored 2.8conceded 2.4

Buffalo Sabres

6-4LWWLLWWWWL

scored 3.4conceded 3.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Stadium Bell-Central (Monreal, Canada), 20 962 zritelya (99% pri vmestimosti 21 105)

Referee Kelli Sazerlend (Richmond, Canada)

Start 12.05.2026 23:00 UTC

Match center

Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres

Hockey, Monreal Kanadiens - Baffalo Seybrz, 13 maya 2026: Highlights matches, schet 2 : 3, statistika and rezultaty, video golov. NKhL — playoff 2025/2026 (Cup Stenli 2026), quarter-final. 4 match. Vo skolko nachalo matches Monreal Kanadiens - Baffalo Seybrz, gde smotret pryamoy efir, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 2:3

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Montreal Canadiens 50.9% - market favourite

Draw 0.0% -

Buffalo Sabres 49.1% -

Total 2.5 Over 0.0% - Under 0.0%

Model check - - Difference 0.00

Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.80 Fonbet · line only

X 4.30 Fonbet · line only

1 2.15 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 5.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Over 5.75 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Duelbits	Everygame	PinnacleSports	Spreadex
—	—	—	1.45 68.8%	—	—	—	—
—	1.94 51.6%	—	—	—	—	—	—
2.80 35.7%	—	2.75 36.4%	—	2.65 37.7%	—	2.87 34.8%	—
—	—	—	—	—	1.46 68.7%	—	1.47 68.0%
—	—	—	2.80 35.7%	—	—	—	—
—	1.94 51.6%	—	—	—	—	—	—
1.45 69.0%	—	1.44 69.3%	—	1.43 69.9%	—	1.45 68.9%	—
—	—	—	—	—	2.80 35.7%	—	2.75 36.4%

Total

Outcome	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Duelbits	Everygame	Fonbet	PinnacleSports
Over 5.5	1.73 58.0%	—	—	—	—	1.70 58.8%	—
Over 5.75	1.85 54.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Over 6	—	—	—	—	1.83 54.6%	—	1.86 53.7%
Over 6.0	—	—	1.83 54.6%	—	—	—	—
Over 6.5	—	2.10 47.6%	—	2.01 49.8%	—	—	—
Under 5.5	2.22 45.2%	—	—	—	—	2.15 46.5%	—
Under 5.75	2.04 49.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Under 6	—	—	—	—	2.00 50.0%	—	2.02 49.5%
Under 6.0	—	—	2.00 50.0%	—	—	—	—
Under 6.5	—	1.73 57.9%	—	1.78 56.2%	—	—	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Betsson	Fonbet
	2.20 45.4%	2.80 35.7%	2.25 44.4%	2.15 46.5%
X	4.31 23.2%	4.10 24.4%	4.05 24.7%	4.30 23.3%
	2.90 34.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.80 35.7%	2.80 35.7%

Match center

Montreal Canadiens

Founded 1863

Buffalo Sabres

Founded 1919

Match center

Montreal Canadiens

W W L L W

10.05 23:00 UTC NHL

Montreal Canadiens 6:2 Buffalo Sabres

08.05 23:00 UTC NHL

Montreal Canadiens 5:1 Buffalo Sabres

06.05 23:00 UTC NHL

Montreal Canadiens 2:4 Buffalo Sabres

01.05 23:00 UTC NHL

Montreal Canadiens 0:1 Tampa Bay Lightning

29.04 23:00 UTC NHL

Montreal Canadiens 3:2 Tampa Bay Lightning

3 Wins

2 Losses

3.2 Scored

2.0 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Buffalo Sabres

L L W W L

10.05 23:00 UTC NHL

Buffalo Sabres 2:6 Montreal Canadiens

08.05 23:00 UTC NHL

Buffalo Sabres 1:5 Montreal Canadiens

06.05 23:00 UTC NHL

Buffalo Sabres 4:2 Montreal Canadiens

01.05 23:30 UTC NHL

Buffalo Sabres 4:1 Boston Bruins

28.04 23:30 UTC NHL

Buffalo Sabres 1:2 Boston Bruins

2 Wins

3 Losses

2.4 Scored

3.2 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMontreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres

Montreal Canadiens

3 matches total

Buffalo Sabres

Montreal Canadiens: 2 (66.7%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Buffalo Sabres: 1 (33.3%)

Biggest win Montreal Canadiens 6:2 (10.05 23:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 8 goals (6:2, 10.05 23:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

13 Goals scored 7

7 Goals conceded 13

Match history

10.05 23:00 UTC

NHL

Montreal Canadiens

6:2

Buffalo Sabres

08.05 23:00 UTC

NHL

Montreal Canadiens

5:1

Buffalo Sabres

06.05 23:00 UTC

NHL

Montreal Canadiens

2:4

Buffalo Sabres

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Montreal Canadiens

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Buffalo Sabres

10 Games 9

6 Wins 5

4 Losses 4

29 Scored 27

22 Conceded 25

14 Points 11

24.8 Broski v stvor 29.22

4 final. 6

32 Aleks Nyukhuk Dzheyk Evans Ivan Demidov 1

08 Koul Kofild Yuray Slafkovski Leyn Khatson 2

47 pp Teydzh Tompson Rasmus Dalin 2

00 pp Zak Benson Dzhosh Doun Teydzh Tompson 2

Goals Mattias Samuelsson Dzhosh Norris Dzhosh Doun 0:1 06:32 Aleks Nyukhuk Dzheyk Evans Ivan Demidov 1 10:08 Koul Kofild Yuray Slafkovski Leyn Khatson 2:1 19:47 pp Teydzh Tompson Rasmus Dalin 2 27:00 pp Zak Benson Dzhosh Doun Teydzh Tompson 2:3 44:41 pp Sendoffs Aleksandr Karre podnozhka 2' 11:28 Rasmus Dalin ataka igroka, ne vladeyuschego shayboy 2' 12:06 Dzheyson Tsuker grubost 2' 14:57 Zakhari Boldyuk grubost 2' 17:25 Peyton Krebs grubost 2' 17:25 Teydzh Tompson tolchok klyushkoy 2' 19 Bouen Bayrem zaderzhka sopernika 2' 22:23 Aleksandr Karre igra vysoko podnyatoy klyushkoy 2' 25:56 Aleksandr Karre 2' 25:56 Rasmus Dalin ataka igroka, ne vladeyuschego shayboy 2' 31:21 Bouen Bayrem igra vysoko podnyatoy klyushkoy 2' 38:31 Bouen Bayrem 2' 38:31 Dzheyk Evans zaderzhka sopernika 2' 43:47 Vratari Yakub Dobesh 00-57 Vratari Ukko

Monreal Kanadiens Baffalo Seybrz 10 Games 9 6 Wins 5 4 Losses 4 29 Scored 27 22 Conceded 25 14 Points 11 24.8 Broski v stvor 29.22 Sleduyuschiy match 17.05.2026 NKhL — playoff Monreal Kanadiens –:– Baffalo Seybrz quarter-final. 6 match Goly Mattias Samuelsson Dzhosh Norris Dzhosh Doun 0:1 06:32 Aleks Nyukhuk Dzheyk Evans Ivan Demidov 1 10:08 Koul Kofild Yuray Slafkovski Leyn Khatson 2:1 19:47 pp Teydzh Tompson Rasmus Dalin 2 27:00 pp Zak Benson Dzhosh Doun Teydzh Tompson 2:3 44:41 pp Sendoffs Aleksandr Karre podnozhka 2' 11:28 Rasmus Dalin ataka igroka, ne vladeyuschego shayboy 2' 12:06 Dzheyson Tsuker grubost 2' 14:57 Zakhari Boldyuk grubost 2' 17:25 Peyton Krebs grubost 2' 17:25 Teydzh Tompson tolchok klyushkoy 2' 19 Bouen Bayrem zaderzhka sopernika 2' 22:23 Aleksandr Karre igra vysoko podnyatoy klyushkoy 2' 25:56 Aleksandr Karre 2' 25:56 Rasmus Dalin ataka igroka, ne vladeyuschego shayboy 2' 31:21 Bouen Bayrem igra vysoko podnyatoy klyushkoy 2' 38:31 Bouen Bayrem 2' 38:31 Dzheyk Evans zaderzhka sopernika 2' 43:47 Vratari Yakub Dobesh 00-57 Vratari Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen 00-60:00