NHL. Regular season
Rangers - Lightning
Rangers take on Lightning on October 1, 2026 in the NHL. Regular season, International.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rangers - Lightning October 1, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.75 / X 4.30 / 2 2.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Rangers - Lightning
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.52 65.8% | |
| 1.42 70.4% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 3.05 32.8% | |
| 3.30 30.3% | |
| 4.40 22.7% | |
| 4.80 20.8% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 3.50 28.6% | |
| 1.33 75.2% | |
| 1.28 78.1% | |
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 1.15 87.0% | |
| 1.70 58.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 4 | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 6 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 7 | 3.10 32.3% |
| Over 7.5 | 3.50 28.6% |
| Over 8 | 5.00 20.0% |
| Over 8.5 | 5.30 18.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 5.00 20.0% |
| Under 4 | 4.40 22.7% |
| Under 4.5 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Under 5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Under 5.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 6 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.75 36.4% | |
| X | 4.30 23.3% |
| 2.20 45.5% |
Full head-to-head historyRangers - Lightning
Match history
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The Rangers - Lightning breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Rangers vs Lightning start?
October 1, 2026.