Stalnye Topory face Ledovye Spartantcy on August 4, 2026 in the Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3x10. Dnevnoy Tournament №2, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Stalnye Topory 3-0-0, Ledovye Spartantcy 0-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Stalnye Topory — 58%
58%1
1 · Stalnye Topory ✓ Pick58.4%
market37%
2 · Ledovye Spartantcy41.6%
market47%
Model estimate: win Stalnye Topory 58.4%, win Ledovye Spartantcy 41.6%. Model favourite — Stalnye Topory.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•Model backs Stalnye Topory: probability 58% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.50)
•edge over the line +18 pp — value pick
•Expected score 3:2
•Total: Over 4.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
•at line 4.5 (odds 1.65)
•Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 2.10).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Stalnye Topory - Ledovye Spartantcy August 4, 2026
Hockey math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Ledovye Spartantcy. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / X 5.50 / 2 1.95
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 ✓ Pick36.5%
X16.6%
246.9%
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P12.50→ 2.50
1X2 X5.50→ 5.50
1X2 P21.95→ 1.95
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Hockey math model.
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Stalnye Topory36.5%58.4%Glicko contrarian
Draw16.6%-
Ledovye Spartantcy46.9%41.6%market favourite
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.95
Fonbet · no value · model 41.6%
X5.50
Fonbet · line only
12.50
Fonbet · value +46.0% · model 58.4%
Handicap
2 01.65
Fonbet · line only
1 02.10
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.51.30
Fonbet · line only
Over 4.51.65
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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