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Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6 International
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

International

Hitrye Lisy - Stalnye Topory

International Hockey
Hitrye Lisy
Hitrye Lisy
2 : 2
Finished
Stalnye Topory
Stalnye Topory

Hitrye Lisy take on Stalnye Topory on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hitrye Lisy 2-0-2, Stalnye Topory 1-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 44% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Stalnye Topory56%

1 · Hitrye Lisy43.5%
2 · Stalnye Topory ✓ Pick56.5%

Model estimate: win Hitrye Lisy 43.5%, win Stalnye Topory 56.5%. Model favourite — Stalnye Topory.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Stalnye Topory (odds2.25) Score 2:3 Over 4.5 (odds1.65) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.85) confidence 56% ✗ outcome missed
  • Khitrye Lisy: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • Stalnye Topory: forma NVVVV (4-0-1)
  • ochnye 0-3 (za 3)
  • Model backs Stalnye Topory: probability 56% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
  • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:3
  • Total: Over 4.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 4.5 (odds 1.65)
  • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hitrye Lisy - Stalnye Topory August 1, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hitrye Lisy.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hitrye Lisy. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.20 / X 5.50 / 2 2.20
  • Glicko: Hitrye Lisy 43.5% / X - / Stalnye Topory 56.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 41.7%
X 16.7%
2 ✓ Pick 41.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.25 → 2.25
1X2 X 5.00 → 5.00
1X2 2 2.25 → 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 41.7% @ 2.20 / X 16.7% @ 5.50 / 2 41.7% @ 2.20
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Hitrye Lisy - Stalnye Topory

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hitrye Lisy 40.8% 43.5% market favourite
Draw 18.4% -
Stalnye Topory 40.8% 56.5% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 43.5% / 56.5% probabilities
Rating 1,455 / 1,682 Hitrye Lisy / Stalnye Topory
RD 84 / 100 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,288-1,622 / 1,481-1,883 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 Fonbet · value +24.2% · model 56.5%
X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 2.20 Fonbet · no value · model 43.5%
Handicap
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 1.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5 3.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.35 74.1%
1.15 87.0%
2.95 33.9%
4.80 20.8%
1.85 54.1%
2.95 33.9%
4.70 21.3%
1.35 74.1%
1.15 87.0%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.5 3.30 30.3%
Over 3.5 1.10 90.9%
Over 4.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 5.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 6.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 7.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 8.5 4.60 21.7%
Under 1.5 3.25 30.8%
Under 2.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 3.5 5.70 17.5%
Under 4.5 3.35 29.9%
Under 5.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 6.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 7.5 1.32 75.8%
Under 8.5 1.15 87.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.20 45.5%
X 5.50 18.2%
2.20 45.5%
Match center
Hitrye Lisy
L W L W
25.07 08:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy 4:7 Stalnye Topory
25.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy 6:4 Metkie Strelki
18.07 08:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy 0:5 Stalnye topory
18.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Hitrye Lisy 3:1 Ledovye Spartantsy
2 Wins
2 Losses
3.3 Scored
4.3 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Stalnye Topory
L W
01.08 06:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Stalnye Topory 0:5 Ledovye Spartantsy
25.07 08:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Stalnye Topory 7:4 Khitrye Lisy
1 Wins
1 Losses
3.5 Scored
4.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHitrye Lisy - Stalnye Topory

Hitrye Lisy
1 matches total
Stalnye Topory
Hitrye Lisy: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Stalnye Topory: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Stalnye Topory 4:7 (25.07 08:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 11 goals (4:7, 25.07 08:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.07 08:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Khitrye Lisy
4:7
Stalnye Topory