Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6
Ledovye Spartantcy - Stalnye Topory
Ledovye Spartantcy take on Stalnye Topory on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ledovye Spartantcy 1-0-1, Stalnye Topory 1-0-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Stalnye Topory — 58%
Model estimate: win Ledovye Spartantcy 42.1%, win Stalnye Topory 57.9%. Model favourite — Stalnye Topory.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Ledovye Spartantsy: forma VPPVP (2-3)
- • Stalnye Topory: forma VVVVV (5-0)
- • ochnye 0-2 (za 2)
- • Model backs Stalnye Topory: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.18)
- • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:3
- • Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
- • at line 6.5 (odds 1.72)
- • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ledovye Spartantcy - Stalnye Topory August 1, 2026
Hockey math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ledovye Spartantcy.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / X 4.90 / 2 2.25
- Glicko: Ledovye Spartantcy 42.1% / X - / Stalnye Topory 57.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Ledovye Spartantcy - Stalnye Topory
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 5.50 18.2% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | |
| 4.10 24.4% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 5.50 18.2% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 3.45 29.0% | |
| 1.19 84.0% | |
| 1.85 54.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 5.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 6.5 | 3.55 28.2% |
| Over 7.5 | 5.70 17.5% |
| Over 8.5 | 4.60 21.7% |
| Over 9.5 | 3.95 25.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 3.30 30.3% |
| Under 4.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Under 7.5 | 1.10 90.9% |
| Under 8.5 | 1.16 86.2% |
| Under 9.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| X | 4.90 20.4% |
| 2.25 44.4% |
Ledovye Spartantcy
Stalnye Topory
Full head-to-head historyLedovye Spartantcy - Stalnye Topory
Overall statistics
Match history
Stalnye Topory
Stalnye Topory
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form