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Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6 International

01.08.2026 07:00 UTC

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Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Metkie Strelki - Hitrye Lisy

International Hockey

Metkie Strelki

- : -

Not started

Hitrye Lisy

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Hitrye Lisy — 50%

1 · Metkie Strelki49.7%

2 · Hitrye Lisy50.3%

Model estimate: win Metkie Strelki 49.7%, win Hitrye Lisy 50.3%. Model favourite — Hitrye Lisy.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Hitrye Lisy (odds2.05) Score 2:3 Under 6.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.72) confidence 50%

• Metkie Strelki: forma PPPVP (1-4)
• Khitrye Lisy: forma VVPPP (2-3)
• ochnye 1-2 (za 3)
• Model backs Khitrye Lisy: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.05)
• edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:3
• Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
• at line 6.5 (odds 1.85)
• Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.72).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Metkie Strelki - Hitrye Lisy August 1, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hitrye Lisy. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.35 / X 5.60 / 2 2.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%

1 39.0%

X 16.4%

2 44.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 2.35 → 2.35

1X2 X 5.60 → 5.60

1X2 P2 2.05 → 2.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 07:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Metkie Strelki - Hitrye Lisy

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/4 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament espn, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report

Referees Championat

Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Metkie Strelki 39.0% 49.7%

Draw 16.4% -

Hitrye Lisy 44.7% 50.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model

P1 / P2 49.7% / 50.3% probabilities

Rating 1,415 / 1,468 Metkie Strelki / Hitrye Lisy

RD 97 / 85 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,221-1,609 / 1,299-1,638 strength interval

HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.05 Fonbet · weak value +3.2% · model 50.3%

X 5.60 Fonbet · line only

1 2.35 Fonbet · weak value +16.7% · model 49.7%

Handicap

2 0 1.72 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.98 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 4.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Over 5.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.42 70.4%
	1.19 84.0%
	3.15 31.8%
	5.00 20.0%
	1.98 50.5%
	2.65 37.7%
	4.15 24.1%
	1.30 76.9%
	1.13 88.5%
	1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 4.5	1.20 83.3%
Over 5.5	1.45 69.0%
Over 6.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 7.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 8.5	3.70 27.0%
Over 9.5	5.60 17.9%
Under 4.5	4.05 24.7%
Under 5.5	2.60 38.5%
Under 6.5	1.85 54.1%
Under 7.5	1.45 69.0%
Under 8.5	1.23 81.3%
Under 9.5	1.11 90.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.35 42.6%
X	5.60 17.9%
	2.05 48.8%

Match center

Metkie Strelki

25.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Metkie Strelki 4:6 Khitrye Lisy

0 Wins

1 Losses

4.0 Scored

6.0 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Hitrye Lisy

L W L W

25.07 08:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Hitrye Lisy 4:7 Stalnye Topory

25.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Hitrye Lisy 6:4 Metkie Strelki

18.07 08:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Hitrye Lisy 0:5 Stalnye topory

18.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Hitrye Lisy 3:1 Ledovye Spartantsy

2 Wins

2 Losses

3.3 Scored

4.3 Conceded

50% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMetkie Strelki - Hitrye Lisy

Metkie Strelki

1 matches total

Hitrye Lisy

Metkie Strelki: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Hitrye Lisy: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Khitrye Lisy 4:6 (25.07 07:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 10 goals (4:6, 25.07 07:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 6

6 Goals conceded 4

Match history

25.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Metkie Strelki

4:6

Khitrye Lisy