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Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6 International

01.08.2026 05:00 UTC

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Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Stalnye Topory - Metkie Strelki

International Hockey

Stalnye Topory

- : -

Not started

Metkie Strelki

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Stalnye Topory — 60%

1 · Stalnye Topory ✓ Pick59.7%

market41%

2 · Metkie Strelki40.3%

market41%

Model estimate: win Stalnye Topory 59.7%, win Metkie Strelki 40.3%. Model favourite — Stalnye Topory.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Stalnye Topory (odds2.25) Score 3:2 Over 4.5 (odds1.75) Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.85) confidence 60%

• Stalnye Topory: forma VVVVV (5-0)
• Metkie Strelki: forma PPPVP (1-4)
• ochnye 2-1 (za 3)
• Model backs Stalnye Topory: probability 60% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
• edge over the line +15 pp — value pick
• Expected score 3:2
• Total: Over 4.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
• at line 4.5 (odds 1.75)
• Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stalnye Topory - Metkie Strelki August 1, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Stalnye Topory. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / X 5.00 / 2 2.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%

1 ✓ Pick 40.8%

X 18.4%

2 40.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 2.25 → 2.25

1X2 X 5.00 → 5.00

1X2 P2 2.25 → 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 05:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 3

Match center

Stalnye Topory - Metkie Strelki

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Bookiesapi match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament espn, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report

Referees Championat

Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Stalnye Topory 40.8% 59.7% market and model agree

Draw 18.4% -

Metkie Strelki 40.8% 40.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model

P1 / P2 59.7% / 40.3% probabilities

Rating 1,682 / 1,415 Stalnye Topory / Metkie Strelki

RD 105 / 97 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,472-1,891 / 1,221-1,609 strength interval

HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 40.3%

X 5.00 Fonbet · line only

1 2.25 Fonbet · value +34.4% · model 59.7%

Handicap

2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only

Over 3.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.30 76.9%
	1.11 90.1%
	3.25 30.8%
	5.70 17.5%
	1.85 54.1%
	3.20 31.3%
	5.60 17.9%
	1.30 76.9%
	1.10 90.9%
	1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 2.5	1.11 90.1%
Over 3.5	1.35 74.1%
Over 4.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 5.5	2.55 39.2%
Over 6.5	3.95 25.3%
Under 2.5	5.60 17.9%
Under 3.5	3.00 33.3%
Under 4.5	1.95 51.3%
Under 5.5	1.45 69.0%
Under 6.5	1.20 83.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.25 44.4%
X	5.00 20.0%
	2.25 44.4%

Match center

Stalnye Topory

25.07 08:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Stalnye Topory 7:4 Khitrye Lisy

1 Wins

0 Losses

7.0 Scored

4.0 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Metkie Strelki

25.07 07:00 UTC Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №6

Metkie Strelki 4:6 Khitrye Lisy

0 Wins

1 Losses

4.0 Scored

6.0 Conceded

0% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyStalnye Topory - Metkie Strelki

Stalnye Topory

3 matches total

Metkie Strelki

Stalnye Topory: 2 (66.7%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Metkie Strelki: 1 (33.3%)

Biggest win Metkie Strelki 0:4 (26.07 04:00 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 30.07 04:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

6 Goals scored 7

7 Goals conceded 6

Match history

30.07 04:00 UTC+0 Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3x10. Dnevnoy Tournament №4

Stalnye Topory

3:2

Metkie Strelki

28.07 04:00 UTC+0 Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3x10. Dnevnoy Tournament №2

Stalnye Topory

3:1

Metkie Strelki

26.07 04:00 UTC+0 Russia. Otkrytyy Championship Magnitka Oupen. 3kh10. Dnevnoy Tournament №7

Stalnye Topory

0:4

Metkie Strelki