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Russia. Friendly
Russia. Friendly International
05.08.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Friendly

International

Bars - Olimpia Kirovo-Chepetsk

International Hockey
Bars
Bars
1 : 3
Finished
Olimpia Kirovo-Chepetsk
Olimpia Kirovo-Chepetsk

Bars meet Olimpia Kirovo-Chepetsk on August 5, 2026 in the Russia. Friendly, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Bars — 50%

1 · Bars50.2%
2 · Olimpia Kirovo-Chepetsk49.8%

Model estimate: win Bars 50.2%, win Olimpia Kirovo-Chepetsk 49.8%. Model favourite — Bars.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bars (odds1.70) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds1.90) ✓ confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Bars: probability 50% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.70)
  • • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 5.5 (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bars - Olimpia Kirovo-Chepetsk August 5, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bars.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bars. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.80 / X 4.30 / 2 3.40
  • Glicko: Bars 50.2% / X - / Olimpia Kirovo-Chepetsk 49.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 51.3%
X 21.5%
2 27.2%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.55 ↑ 1.80
1X2 X 4.60 ↓ 4.30
1X2 2 4.60 ↓ 3.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 51.3% @ 1.80 / X 21.5% @ 4.30 / 2 27.2% @ 3.40
Match center

Bars - Olimpia Kirovo-Chepetsk

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form espn, Flashscore, Championat
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bars 51.3% 50.2% market and model agree
Draw 21.5% -
Olimpia Kirovo-Chepetsk 27.2% 49.8%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.2% / 49.8% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Bars / Olimpia Kirovo-Chepetsk
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 Fonbet · weak value +69.3% · model 49.8%
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.80 Fonbet · no value · model 50.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.72 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.15 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Over 4 1.23 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.19 84.0%
1.16 86.2%
2.00 50.0%
2.25 44.4%
2.85 35.1%
3.25 30.8%
5.30 18.9%
6.00 16.7%
1.43 69.9%
4.15 24.1%
4.50 22.2%
1.72 58.1%
1.57 63.7%
1.37 73.0%
1.30 76.9%
1.12 89.3%
1.09 91.7%
2.65 37.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 4 1.23 81.3%
Over 4.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 5 1.60 62.5%
Over 5.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 6 2.35 42.6%
Over 6.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 7 3.70 27.0%
Over 7.5 4.10 24.4%
Over 8 5.40 18.5%
Over 8.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 3.5 4.30 23.3%
Under 4 3.75 26.7%
Under 4.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 5 2.20 45.5%
Under 5.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 6 1.53 65.4%
Under 6.5 1.40 71.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
X 4.30 23.3%
3.40 29.4%