Russia. Friendly
Toros - HC Izhstal
Toros face HC Izhstal on August 6, 2026 in the Russia. Friendly, International.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Toros — 50%
Model estimate: win Toros 50.2%, win HC Izhstal 49.8%. Model favourite — Toros.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Toros: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 3:2
- • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
- • at line 5.5 (odds 1.72)
- • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.78).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Toros - HC Izhstal August 6, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Toros 50.2% / HC Izhstal 49.8%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Toros - HC Izhstal
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.22 82.0% | |
| 2.95 33.9% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 4.60 21.7% | |
| 3.65 27.4% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 3.85 26.0% | |
| 6.70 14.9% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 3.25 30.8% | |
| 1.16 86.2% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 8.50 11.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Over 4 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 4.5 | 7.80 12.8% |
| Over 5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 7.90 12.7% |
| Over 6 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 6.5 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Over 7 | 4.00 25.0% |
| Over 7.5 | 4.40 22.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 7.00 14.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 4 | 3.45 29.0% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
| Under 5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| X | 12.50 8.0% |
| 35.00 2.9% |
Full head-to-head historyToros - HC Izhstal
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form