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Russia. Friendly
Russia. Friendly International
06.08.2026 15:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 15:00 UTC
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Russia. Friendly

International

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ak Bars

International Hockey
Neftyanik Almetyevsk
Neftyanik Almetyevsk
- : -
Not started
Ak Bars
Ak Bars

Neftyanik Almetyevsk face Ak Bars on August 6, 2026 in the Russia. Friendly, International.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Neftyanik Almetyevsk — 50%

1 · Neftyanik Almetyevsk50.3%
2 · Ak Bars49.7%

Model estimate: win Neftyanik Almetyevsk 50.3%, win Ak Bars 49.7%. Model favourite — Neftyanik Almetyevsk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Neftyanik Almetyevsk (odds6.50) Score 3:2 Under 6.5 (odds2.02) Handicap H1 +2.5 (odds1.85) confidence 50%
  • • Neftyanik Almetyevsk: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Neftyanik Almetyevsk: probability 50% vs 15% on the line (odds 6.50)
  • • edge over the line +35 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 6.5 (odds 2.02)
  • • Handicap F1 +2.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ak Bars August 6, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ak Bars. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.60 / X 5.60 / 2 1.33

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 14.0%
X 16.5%
2 69.5%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 6.50 → 6.50
1X2 X 5.20 → 5.20
1X2 P2 1.35 → 1.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Yubileynyy (Almetevsk, Russia), vmestimost: 2200
Start 06.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 14.0% @ 6.60 / X 16.5% @ 5.60 / 2 69.5% @ 1.33
Form 3 matches
Match center

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ak Bars

hockey, Neftyanik - Ak Bars, 6 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Neftyanik - Ak Bars, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Friendlies (kluby) 2026.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Neftyanik Almetyevsk 14.2% 50.3% Glicko contrarian
Draw 17.7% -
Ak Bars 68.2% 49.7% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,518 / 1,500 Neftyanik Almetyevsk / Ak Bars
RD 193 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,133-1,903 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.33 Fonbet · no value · model 49.7%
X 5.60 Fonbet · line only
1 6.60 Fonbet · weak value +232.0% · model 50.3%
Handicap
2 +1 1.37 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 2.85 Fonbet · line only
1 0 5.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Over 5 1.19 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.85 35.1%
2.40 41.7%
2.15 46.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.55 64.5%
1.40 71.4%
1.25 80.0%
1.14 87.7%
5.00 20.0%
1.37 73.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.62 61.7%
1.83 54.6%
2.25 44.4%
2.70 37.0%
3.55 28.2%
5.00 20.0%
1.13 88.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 4.5 1.16 86.2%
Over 5 1.19 84.0%
Over 5.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 6 1.45 69.0%
Over 6.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 7 1.95 51.3%
Over 7.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 8 2.85 35.1%
Over 8.5 3.25 30.8%
Over 9 4.30 23.3%
Over 9.5 4.70 21.3%
Under 4.5 4.60 21.7%
Under 5 4.10 24.4%
Under 5.5 2.95 33.9%
Under 6 2.55 39.2%
Under 6.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 7 1.75 57.1%
Under 7.5 1.57 63.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.60 15.2%
X 5.60 17.9%
1.33 75.2%
Match center
Neftyanik Almetyevsk
L W W L L
13.05 14:00 UTC+0 VHL
Neftyanik Almetyevsk 1:2 Ugra Khanty-MansiyskUgra Khanty-Mansiysk
11.05 14:00 UTC+0 VHL
Neftyanik Almetyevsk 3:2 Ugra Khanty-MansiyskUgra Khanty-Mansiysk
08.05 14:00 UTC+0 Russia VKhL
Neftyanik Almetyevsk 4:0 KhK YugraKhK Yugra
03.05 14:00 UTC+0 VHL
Neftyanik Almetyevsk 2:5 Ugra Khanty-MansiyskUgra Khanty-Mansiysk
30.04 14:00 UTC+0 VHL
Neftyanik Almetyevsk 3:4 Ugra Khanty-MansiyskUgra Khanty-Mansiysk
2 Wins
3 Losses
2.6 Scored
2.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Ak Bars
L W W
13.05 14:00 UTC+0 VHL
Ak Bars 1:2 Ugra Khanty-MansiyskUgra Khanty-Mansiysk
11.05 14:00 UTC+0 VHL
Ak Bars 3:2 Ugra Khanty-MansiyskUgra Khanty-Mansiysk
08.05 14:00 UTC+0 Russia VKhL
Ak Bars 4:0 KhK YugraKhK Yugra
2 Wins
1 Losses
2.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Neftyanik Almetyevsk
Data 8 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Ak Bars
Neftyanik Almetyevsk Team comparison Ak Bars
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Broski v stvor 0
ybiraem obladatelya Kubka Gagarina Cup Gagarina: razborki Khartli and Razina v finale neizbezhny? Triumf «Lokomotiva» or blitskrig Gru. A mozhet, kto-to esche? Chego zhdat ot playoff KKhL «Ak Bars» — CSKA, sedmoy match. Bilyaletdinov byl na krayu propasti «Ak Bars» — CSKA. Radulov zrya lomal klyushku CSKA — «Ak Bars», chetvertyy match. Bilyaletdinov tonet, and Radulov ne spaset CSKA — «Ak Bars», tretiy match. Bilyaletdinovu nekogda gorevat «Ak Bars» — CSKA. Bilyaletdinov zagonit Fedorova v ugol «Ak Bars» — CSKA, pervyy match. Nado idti do kontsa! ; CHAMP({
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Neftyanik Ak Bars 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Broski v stvor 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 14% 13% 73% Double chance 14% 43% 43% Materialy po prognozam «Metallurg» — «Ak Bars», vtoroy match. Razin vklyuchit svoyu komandu Razin, Khartli or kto-to esche? Vybiraem obladatelya Kubka Gagarina Cup Gagarina: razborki Khartli and Razina v finale neizbezhny? Triumf «Lokomotiva» or blitskrig Gru. A mozhet, kto-to esche? Chego zhdat ot playoff KKhL «Ak Bars» — CSKA, sedmoy match. Bilyaletdinov byl na krayu propasti «Ak Bars» — CSKA. Radulov zrya lomal klyushku CSKA — «Ak Bars», chetvertyy match. Bilyaletdinov tonet, and Radulov ne spaset CSKA — «Ak Bars», tretiy match. Bilyaletdinovu nekogda gorevat «Ak Bars» — CSKA. Bilyaletdinov zagonit Fedorova v ugol «Ak Bars» — CSKA, pervyy match. Nado idti do kontsa! CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330784' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Friendlies (kluby) Turnirnaya Standings