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SPHL
SPHL USA
Final 07.05.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
07.05.2026 00:00 UTC Final
Finished

SPHL

USA

Evansville Thunderbolts - Peoria Rivermen

USA Hockey
Evansville Thunderbolts
Evansville Thunderbolts
2 : 1
Finished
Peoria Rivermen
Peoria Rivermen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Evansville Thunderbolts - Peoria Rivermen May 7, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Evansville Thunderbolts. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / X 4.50 / 2 4.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 56.2%
X 20.6%
2 23.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.05.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Evansville Thunderbolts - Peoria Rivermen

SPHL

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 Fonbet · line only
X 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 4.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 5.25 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet MelBet
2.29 43.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.29 43.7%
1.65 60.6% — —
1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3%
2.06 48.5% — —

Total

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet MelBet
Over 4.5 1.66 60.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.4%
Over 5.25 1.97 50.7% — —
Over 5.5 — 2.20 45.5% —
Under 4.5 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5%
Under 5.25 1.75 57.2% — —
Under 5.5 — 1.60 62.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet Fonbet MelBet
1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0%
X 4.48 22.3% 4.50 22.2% 4.48 22.3%
4.03 24.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.03 24.8%
Match center
Evansville Thunderbolts
L L
02.05 00:15 UTC SPHL
Evansville Thunderbolts 1:5 Peoria Rivermen
01.05 00:15 UTC SPHL
Evansville Thunderbolts 1:2 Peoria Rivermen
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Peoria Rivermen
W W
02.05 00:15 UTC SPHL
Peoria Rivermen 5:1 Evansville Thunderbolts
01.05 00:15 UTC SPHL
Peoria Rivermen 2:1 Evansville Thunderbolts
2 Wins
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEvansville Thunderbolts - Peoria Rivermen

Evansville Thunderbolts
2 matches total
Peoria Rivermen
Evansville Thunderbolts: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Peoria Rivermen: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Peoria Rivermen 1:5 (02.05 00:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (1:5, 02.05 00:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 7
7 Goals conceded 2

Match history

02.05 00:15 UTC SPHL
Evansville Thunderbolts
1:5
Peoria Rivermen
01.05 00:15 UTC SPHL
Evansville Thunderbolts
1:2
Peoria Rivermen