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Tournament N.E. Maslov. Saint-Petersburg
Tournament N.E. Maslov. Saint-Petersburg International
01.08.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
01.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Tournament N.E. Maslov. Saint-Petersburg

International

Avto Ekaterinburg - MHC Spartak Moscow

International Hockey
Avto Ekaterinburg
Avto Ekaterinburg
3 : 4
Finished
MHC Spartak Moscow
MHC Spartak Moscow

Avto Ekaterinburg go head-to-head with MHC Spartak Moscow on August 1, 2026 in the Tournament N.E. Maslov. Saint-Petersburg, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Avto Ekaterinburg — 50%

1 · Avto Ekaterinburg50.2%
2 · MHC Spartak Moscow49.8%

Model estimate: win Avto Ekaterinburg 50.2%, win MHC Spartak Moscow 49.8%. Model favourite — Avto Ekaterinburg.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Avto Ekaterinburg (odds2.50) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds1.95) Handicap H1 +0 (odds2.05) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Avto Ekaterinburg: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.50)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 3:2
  • • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 5.5 (odds 1.95)
  • • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 2.05).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Avto Ekaterinburg - MHC Spartak Moscow August 1, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Avto Ekaterinburg 50.2% / MHC Spartak Moscow 49.8%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.50 ↑ 19.00
1X2 X 4.40 ↓ 1.07
1X2 2 2.05 ↑ 10.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Avto Ekaterinburg - MHC Spartak Moscow

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form espn, Flashscore, Championat
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Overview Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 50.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.504 / LogLoss 0.697
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 50.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.501 / LogLoss 0.694
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Avto Ekaterinburg 4.9% 50.2% Glicko contrarian
Draw 86.3% - market favourite
MHC Spartak Moscow 8.8% 49.8%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.2% / 49.8% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Avto Ekaterinburg / MHC Spartak Moscow
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.72 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Over 3.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
5.20 19.2%
8.00 12.5%
5.30 18.9%
7.90 12.7%
6.50 15.4%
1.72 58.1%
8.50 11.8%
2.40 41.7%
4.00 25.0%
4.30 23.3%
3.95 25.3%
7.30 13.7%
1.12 89.3%
1.05 95.2%
1.12 89.3%
1.05 95.2%
1.08 92.6%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.06 94.3%
Over 3.5 1.06 94.3%
Over 4 1.20 83.3%
Over 4.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 5 1.58 63.3%
Over 5.5 1.23 81.3%
Over 6 2.25 44.4%
Over 6.5 6.50 15.4%
Over 7 3.55 28.2%
Over 7.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 8 5.10 19.6%
Over 8.5 7.30 13.7%
Over 9.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 2.5 7.60 13.2%
Under 3.5 7.40 13.5%
Under 4 3.90 25.6%
Under 4.5 5.60 17.9%
Under 5 2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
19.00 5.3%
X 1.07 93.5%
10.50 9.5%