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Tournament im. N.E. Maslova. Sankt-Peterburg
Tournament im. N.E. Maslova. Sankt-Peterburg International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Tournament im. N.E. Maslova. Sankt-Peterburg

SKA-1946 - MKhK Spartak Moskva

International Hockey
SKA-1946
SKA-1946
3 : 1
Finished
MKhK Spartak Moskva
MKhK Spartak Moskva

SKA-1946 meet MKhK Spartak Moskva on August 4, 2026 in the Tournament im. N.E. Maslova. Sankt-Peterburg, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 MKhK Spartak Moskva51%

1 · SKA-194648.7%
2 · MKhK Spartak Moskva51.3%

Model estimate: win SKA-1946 48.7%, win MKhK Spartak Moskva 51.3%. Model favourite — MKhK Spartak Moskva.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2MKhK Spartak Moskva (odds2.45) Score 2:3 Under 6 (odds1.75) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.92) confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • SKA-1946 🇷🇺: forma NVN (1-0-2)
  • MKhK Spartak Moskva: forma VV (2-0)
  • Model backs MKhK Spartak Moskva: probability 51% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.45)
  • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:3
  • Total: Under 6: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 6 (odds 1.75)
  • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.92).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SKA-1946 - MKhK Spartak Moskva August 4, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: SKA-1946 48.7% / MKhK Spartak Moskva 51.3%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.25 ↑ 2.75
1X2 X 4.40 → 4.40
1X2 2 2.45 ↓ 2.03

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

SKA-1946 - MKhK Spartak Moskva

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 51.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.526 / LogLoss 0.719
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.507 / LogLoss 0.700
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
SKA-1946 33.6% 48.7%
Draw 21.0% -
MKhK Spartak Moskva 45.5% 51.3% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 48.7% / 51.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,762 SKA-1946 / MKhK Spartak Moskva
RD 226 / 254 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,047-1,953 / 1,253-2,271 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 48.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 1.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.57 63.7%
1.04 96.2%
1.30 76.9%
3.25 30.8%
1.30 76.9%
4.80 20.8%
4.60 21.7%
2.70 37.0%
2.25 44.4%
9.00 11.1%
3.20 31.3%
5.90 17.0%
1.30 76.9%
3.30 30.3%
1.15 87.0%
1.16 86.2%
1.40 71.4%
3.95 25.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 2.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 3.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 4 1.13 88.5%
Over 4.5 3.90 25.6%
Over 5 1.35 74.1%
Over 5.5 4.60 21.7%
Over 6 1.75 57.1%
Over 6.5 7.90 12.7%
Over 7 2.55 39.2%
Over 7.5 3.80 26.3%
Over 8 4.00 25.0%
Over 8.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 1.5 6.60 15.2%
Under 2.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 3.5 3.60 27.8%
Under 4 5.10 19.6%
Under 4.5 1.21 82.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
X 10.50 9.5%
90.00 1.1%
Match center
SKA-1946
D W D
02.08 16:00 UTC+0 Tournament im. N.E. Maslova. Sankt-Peterburg
SKA-1946 2:2 Avto EkaterinburgAvto Ekaterinburg
01.08 16:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
SKA-1946 3:2 Avto 🇷🇺Avto 🇷🇺
01.08 08:00 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
SKA-1946 0:0 Krasnaya ArmiyaKrasnaya Armiya
1 Wins
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage
MKhK Spartak Moskva
W W
02.08 08:00 UTC Tournament im. N.E. Maslova. Sankt-Peterburg
MKhK Spartak Moskva 5:2 Akademiya SKAAkademiya SKA
01.08 12:00 UTC Tournament im. N.E. Maslova. Sankt-Peterburg
MKhK Spartak Moskva 4:3 Avto EkaterinburgAvto Ekaterinburg
2 Wins
0 Losses
4.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage