AI verdict

AI pick Buran Voronezh win probability ~48% best odds 1.88

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Buran Voronezh. Full breakdown below.

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VHL
VHL International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
03.09.2026 16:00 UTC
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VHL

Buran Voronezh vs CSK VVS Samara — Hockey prediction

International Hockey
Buran Voronezh
Buran Voronezh
- : -
Not started
CSK VVS Samara
CSK VVS Samara

Buran Voronezh go head-to-head with CSK VVS Samara in ice hockey, in VHL, on 3 September 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Buran Voronezh: roughly 48% to win. The bookmaker consensus (1 book) implies about 51% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 11%.

Latest form: Buran Voronezh 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost; CSK VVS Samara 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost. Glicko ratings: Buran Voronezh 1647, CSK VVS Samara 1378, a gap of 269 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 3-point gap to the market. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 269 Glicko rating points, the model's 48% for Buran Voronezh. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Buran Voronezh48%

1 · Buran Voronezh47.7%
2 · CSK VVS Samara41.0%

Model estimate: win Buran Voronezh 47.7%, win CSK VVS Samara 41.0%. Model favourite — Buran Voronezh.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Buran Voronezh - CSK VVS Samara September 3, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Buran Voronezh. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.88 / X 4.15 / 2 3.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 49.2%
X 22.3%
2 28.5%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.80 → 1.80
1X2 X 4.20 → 4.20
1X2 P2 3.50 → 3.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Buran Voronezh
3-7LLWLLWLLLW
scored 2.4conceded 3.1
CSK VVS Samara
2-8LLLLLLWLWL
scored 2.2conceded 2.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 03.09.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 49.2% @ 1.88 / X 22.3% @ 4.15 / 2 28.5% @ 3.25
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Buran Voronezh 48%
💹 Market Buran Voronezh 49%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Buran Voronezh - CSK VVS Samara

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Buran Voronezh 51.5% 47.7% market and model agree
Draw 22.1% 11.3%
CSK VVS Samara 26.5% 41.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / X / P2 47.7% / 11.3% / 41.0% probabilities
Rating 1,647 / 1,378 Buran Voronezh / CSK VVS Samara
RD 209 / 162 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,229-2,064 / 1,053-1,702 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.25 Fonbet · no value · model 41.0%
X 4.15 Fonbet · no value · model 11.3%
1 1.88 Fonbet · no value · model 47.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.62 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.15 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Over 3 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.19 84.0%
1.16 86.2%
2.15 46.5%
2.50 40.0%
3.40 29.4%
3.90 25.6%
1.47 68.0%
4.15 24.1%
4.60 21.7%
1.62 61.7%
1.47 68.0%
1.27 78.7%
1.20 83.3%
2.50 40.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 3 1.12 89.3%
Over 3.5 1.27 78.7%
Over 4 1.37 73.0%
Over 4.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 5 1.93 51.8%
Over 5.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 6 3.05 32.8%
Over 6.5 3.55 28.2%
Over 7 5.00 20.0%
Over 7.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 2.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 3 5.40 18.5%
Under 3.5 3.40 29.4%
Under 4 2.85 35.1%
Under 4.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 5 1.77 56.5%
Under 5.5 1.55 64.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.88 53.2%
X 4.15 24.1%
3.25 30.8%
Match center
Buran Voronezh
D D W W D
28.08 14:00 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
Buran Voronezh 3:3 KhK TambovKhK Tambov
22.08 10:00 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
Buran Voronezh 3:3 Zvezda MoskvaZvezda Moskva
17.08 14:00 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
Buran Voronezh 3:2 KhK Ryazan-VDVKhK Ryazan-VDV
13.08 14:30 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
Buran Voronezh 1:0 Kristall SaratovKristall Saratov
08.08 10:00 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
Buran Voronezh 2:2 Kristall SaratovKristall Saratov
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
CSK VVS Samara
L L L W L
28.08 09:00 UTC+0 Predsezonnye turniry
CSK VVS Samara 1:4 Yuzhnyy Ural
27.08 15:00 UTC+0 Predsezonnye turniry
CSK VVS Samara 1:2 DizelDizel
26.08 10:00 UTC+0 Predsezonnye turniry
CSK VVS Samara 2:4 Kristall SaratovKristall Saratov
19.08 11:00 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
CSK VVS Samara 5:2 BarsBars
15.08 10:00 UTC+0 Predsezonnye turniry
CSK VVS Samara 1:3 TorosToros
1 Wins
4 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Buran Voronezh vs CSK VVS Samara?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Buran Voronezh. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Buran Voronezh vs CSK VVS Samara?

Live odds for Buran Voronezh vs CSK VVS Samara from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Buran Voronezh vs CSK VVS Samara start?

September 3, 2026.