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World Championship, Div I, Group A
World Championship, Div I, Group A International
08.05.2026 14:00 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Finished

World Championship, Div I, Group A

Ukraine - Japan

International Hockey
Ukraine
Ukraine
3 : 1
Finished
Japan
Japan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ukraine - Japan May 8, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ukraine. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 12.30 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 24.4%
1 78.8%
X 6.5%
2 14.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.05.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Ukraine - Japan

World Championship, Div I, Group A

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 market consensus · line only
X 4.75 market consensus · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.94 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Over 3.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.04 96.2%
1.76 56.8%
1.20 83.3% 1.92 52.1%
1.85 54.1%
5.00 20.0%
4.33 23.1%
8.50 11.8%
1.93 51.8%
4.00 25.0% 1.82 55.0%
1.76 56.9%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1% 1.30 76.7%
1.66 60.2%
1.13 88.3%
1.18 84.7%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 2.5 1.73 57.9%
Over 3.5 1.53 65.2%
Over 4 1.73 57.8%
Over 4.5 2.30 43.5% 5.81 17.2%
Over 5 1.76 56.8%
Over 5.25 1.89 53.0%
Over 5.5 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4%
Over 6 1.96 51.2%
Over 6.5 2.08 48.2%
Over 7 1.90 52.5%
Over 7.5 2.06 48.7%
Over 8 1.93 52.0%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 3.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 4.5 1.53 65.2%
Under 5.5 1.48 67.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Everygame Fonbet
1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.02 98.0%
X 12.30 8.1% 17.00 5.9% 26.00 3.9% 11.50 8.7% 4.75 21.1% 16.00 6.3%
49.00 2.0% 51.00 2.0% 34.00 2.9% 34.00 2.9% 5.50 18.2% 65.00 1.5%
Match center
Ukraine
L W W L
07.05 14:00 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Ukraine 4:5 Kazakhstan
05.05 14:00 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Ukraine 3:2 France
03.05 14:00 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Ukraine 2:1 Lithuania
02.05 17:30 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Ukraine 2:3 Poland
2 Wins
2 Losses
2.8 Scored
2.8 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Japan
L L
03.05 10:30 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Japan 0:6 Kazakhstan
02.05 10:30 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Japan 3:4 France
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUkraine - Japan

Ukraine
0 matches total
Japan
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history