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World Championship, Div I, Group A
World Championship, Div I, Group A International
07.05.2026 14:00 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Finished

World Championship, Div I, Group A

Ukraine - Kazakhstan

International Hockey
Ukraine
Ukraine
4 : 5
Finished
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ukraine - Kazakhstan May 7, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / X 1.12 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 6.6%
X 82.5%
2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.05.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Ukraine - Kazakhstan

World Championship, Div I, Group A

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
X 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1 7.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 0.5 3.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 1.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
1.02 98.0%
1.57 63.7%
1.98 50.5%
8.00 12.5%
1.96 51.0%
1.48 67.8%
1.78 56.1%
1.92 52.1%
1.70 58.7%
10.00 10.0%
2.25 44.4%
1.74 57.6%
1.05 95.2%
1.76 56.9%
2.46 40.7%
1.87 53.4%
1.82 55.0%
2.02 49.5%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 1.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 3.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 4.5 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%
Over 4.75 1.70 58.8%
Over 5 1.77 56.5%
Over 5.5 1.86 53.8%
Over 7 1.76 57.0%
Over 7.5 1.58 63.1%
Over 8 2.05 48.8%
Over 8.5 8.36 12.0%
Under 1.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 2.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 3.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 4.5 1.73 57.9% 1.74 57.6%
Under 4.75 1.97 50.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Everygame Fonbet
25.00 4.0% 7.50 13.3% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1% 3.90 25.6% 14.00 7.1%
X 1.03 97.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.05 95.2% 1.20 83.3% 4.20 23.8% 1.12 89.3%
14.10 7.1% 4.50 22.2% 8.00 12.5% 6.00 16.7% 1.62 61.7% 8.50 11.8%
Match center
Ukraine
W W L
05.05 14:00 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Ukraine 3:2 France
03.05 14:00 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Ukraine 2:1 Lithuania
02.05 17:30 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Ukraine 2:3 Poland
2 Wins
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
2.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Kazakhstan
W W
03.05 10:30 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Kazakhstan 6:0 Japan
02.05 14:00 UTC World Championship, Div I, Group A
Kazakhstan 4:1 Lithuania
2 Wins
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUkraine - Kazakhstan

Ukraine
0 matches total
Kazakhstan
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history