Tournament Memorial P. Belyaeva. Cherepovets
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Almaz — 50%
Model estimate: win Almaz 50.2%, win Loko-76 49.8%. Model favourite — Almaz.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.37 73.0% | |
| 1.23 81.3% | |
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| 3.10 32.3% | |
| 4.05 24.7% | |
| 4.40 22.7% | |
| 1.92 52.1% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| 2.85 35.1% | |
| 3.75 26.7% | |
| 1.38 72.5% | |
| 1.32 75.8% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 1.78 56.2% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 4 | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 6 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 7 | 2.75 36.4% |
| Over 7.5 | 3.10 32.3% |
| Over 8 | 4.40 22.7% |
| Over 8.5 | 4.80 20.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 5.70 17.5% |
| Under 4 | 5.10 19.6% |
| Under 4.5 | 3.20 31.3% |
| Under 5 | 2.80 35.7% |
| Under 5.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 6 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| X | 4.30 23.3% |
| 2.25 44.4% |
Full head-to-head historyAlmaz - Loko-76
The Almaz - Loko-76 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
