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HC Lida - HC Aviator Baranovichi
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 HC Lida — 51%
Model estimate: win HC Lida 51.3%, win HC Aviator Baranovichi 48.7%. Model favourite — HC Lida.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Lida 🇧🇾: forma PNPV (1-2-1)
- • Aviator 🇧🇾: forma NPPPN (0-3-2)
- • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
- • Model backs Lida 🇧🇾: probability 51% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.55)
- • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 3:2
- • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
- • at line 5.5 (odds 1.90)
- • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.75).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction HC Lida - HC Aviator Baranovichi July 29, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / X 4.50 / 2 4.15
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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HC Lida - HC Aviator Baranovichi
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| 2.75 36.4% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 5.30 18.9% | |
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 3.30 30.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 6 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 7 | 3.40 29.4% |
| Under 4.5 | 2.70 37.0% |
| Under 5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 6 | 1.61 62.1% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Under 7 | 1.27 78.7% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| X | 4.50 22.2% |
| 4.15 24.1% |
Neftyanik
Full head-to-head historyHC Lida - HC Aviator Baranovichi
Overall statistics
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form