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Russia. Friendly
Russia. Friendly
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Friendly

Kuznetskie Medvedi - Belye Medvedi

Hockey
Kuznetskie Medvedi
Kuznetskie Medvedi
1 : 4
Finished
Belye Medvedi
Belye Medvedi

Kuznetskie Medvedi go head-to-head with Belye Medvedi on August 5, 2026 in the Russia. Friendly.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kuznetskie Medvedi 1-0-0, Belye Medvedi 1-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kuznetskie Medvedi51%

1 · Kuznetskie Medvedi50.5%
2 · Belye Medvedi49.5%

Model estimate: win Kuznetskie Medvedi 50.5%, win Belye Medvedi 49.5%. Model favourite — Kuznetskie Medvedi.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kuznetskie Medvedi (odds1.99) Score 3:2 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Kuznetskie Medvedi 🇷🇺: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 3:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kuznetskie Medvedi - Belye Medvedi August 5, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Kuznetskie Medvedi 50.5% / Belye Medvedi 49.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 3.1%
2 87.6%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 4.50 ↑ 5.70
1X2 X 4.40 ↑ 5.40
1X2 2 1.58 ↓ 1.38

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Form 3 matches
Match center

Kuznetskie Medvedi - Belye Medvedi

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.510 / LogLoss 0.703
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.503 / LogLoss 0.696
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kuznetskie Medvedi 16.2% 50.5% Glicko contrarian
Draw 17.1% -
Belye Medvedi 66.8% 49.5% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.5% / 49.5% probabilities
Rating 1,603 / 1,556 Kuznetskie Medvedi / Belye Medvedi
RD 291 / 248 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,022-2,184 / 1,060-2,052 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 49.5%
X 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 0 6.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Over 3.5 1.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.55 39.2%
4.20 23.8%
1.80 55.6%
4.60 21.7%
1.30 76.9%
1.05 95.2%
1.08 92.6%
6.90 14.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.18 84.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.16 86.2%
3.25 30.8%
7.90 12.7%
6.50 15.4%
9.00 11.1%
1.07 93.5%
1.08 92.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.12 89.3%
Over 3.5 1.15 87.0%
Over 4 1.12 89.3%
Over 4.5 1.27 78.7%
Over 5 1.35 74.1%
Over 5.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 6 1.78 56.2%
Over 6.5 4.60 21.7%
Over 7 2.60 38.5%
Over 7.5 7.80 12.8%
Over 8 4.05 24.7%
Over 8.5 8.00 12.5%
Over 9.5 7.70 13.0%
Under 2.5 5.20 19.2%
Under 3.5 4.70 21.3%
Under 4 5.40 18.5%
Under 4.5 3.40 29.4%
Under 5 2.95 33.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
30.00 3.3%
X 10.00 10.0%
1.06 94.3%
Match center
Kuznetskie Medvedi
W
03.08 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Kuznetskie Medvedi 3:2 Snezhnye Barsy 🇰🇿Snezhnye Barsy 🇰🇿
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Belye Medvedi
W L
04.08 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Belye Medvedi 5:1 Snezhnye Barsy 🇰🇿Snezhnye Barsy 🇰🇿
02.08 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Belye Medvedi 1:2 Omskie Yastreby 🇷🇺Omskie Yastreby 🇷🇺
1 Wins
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage