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01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
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HC Lida - HC Kaluga

Hockey
H
HC Lida
- : -
Not started
H
HC Kaluga
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 HC Kaluga — 51%

1 · HC Lida49.0%
2 · HC Kaluga51.0%

Model estimate: win HC Lida 49.0%, win HC Kaluga 51.0%. Model favourite — HC Kaluga.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2HC Kaluga (odds1.85) Score 2:3 Under 5.5 (odds1.80) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.80) confidence 50%
  • • Lida 🇧🇾: forma PPNPV (1-3-1)
  • • Kaluga 🇷🇺: forma P (0-1)
  • • liniya na pik P2 2.20→1.85 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Kaluga 🇷🇺: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:3
  • • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 5.5 (odds 1.80)
  • • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HC Lida - HC Kaluga August 1, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: HC Kaluga. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.95 / X 4.60 / 2 1.87

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 31.1%
X 19.9%
2 49.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.30 ↑ 2.95
1X2 X 4.50 ↑ 4.60
1X2 P2 2.20 ↓ 1.87

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 31.1% @ 2.95 / X 19.9% @ 4.60 / 2 49.0% @ 1.87
Form 4 matches
Match center

HC Lida - HC Kaluga

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
HC Lida 31.1% 49.0%
Draw 19.9% -
HC Kaluga 49.0% 51.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 49.0% / 51.0% probabilities
Rating 1,179 / 1,412 HC Lida / HC Kaluga
RD 179 / 283 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 821-1,536 / 847-1,978 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.87 Fonbet · no value · model 51.0%
X 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1 2.95 Fonbet · weak value +44.7% · model 49.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.52 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Over 4 1.23 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
1.52 65.8%
1.33 75.2%
1.25 80.0%
3.60 27.8%
3.90 25.6%
2.35 42.6%
2.10 47.6%
2.35 42.6%
3.05 32.8%
3.45 29.0%
1.25 80.0%
1.20 83.3%
1.52 65.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 4 1.23 81.3%
Over 4.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 5 1.60 62.5%
Over 5.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 6 2.35 42.6%
Over 6.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 7 3.70 27.0%
Over 7.5 4.15 24.1%
Under 3.5 4.30 23.3%
Under 4 3.75 26.7%
Under 4.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 5 2.20 45.5%
Under 5.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 6 1.53 65.4%
Under 6.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 7 1.23 81.3%
Under 7.5 1.19 84.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.95 33.9%
X 4.60 21.7%
1.87 53.5%
Match center

Odds · 3 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.7 (Winline) · X 4.7 (Winline) · 2 1.85 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.9 4.5 1.85
Winline 4.7 4.7 1.48
Fonbet 2.9 4.5 1.85
Source: ruscore · line comparison
HC Lida
L L L W
29.07 08:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
HC Lida 2:5 Aviator 🇧🇾
24.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
HC Lida 2:3 Neman Grodno
21.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
HC Lida 0:3 Brest
18.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
HC Lida 1:0 Dinamo Molodechno 🇧🇾
1 Wins
3 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.8 Conceded
25% Win percentage
HC Kaluga
L
27.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
HC Kaluga 1:2 Neman Grodno
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHC Lida - HC Kaluga

HC Lida
0 matches total
HC Kaluga
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history