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Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Metalurg Cherepovec — 50%
Model estimate: win Metalurg Cherepovec 50.3%, win Sakhalinskie Akuly 49.7%. Model favourite — Metalurg Cherepovec.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.95 33.9% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 1.43 69.9% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | |
| 1.15 87.0% | |
| 5.30 18.9% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 1.60 62.5% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 3.40 29.4% | |
| 4.80 20.8% | |
| 1.12 89.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 5 | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 6 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 6.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 7 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 7.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Over 8 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Over 8.5 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Over 9 | 3.80 26.3% |
| Over 9.5 | 4.15 24.1% |
| Under 4.5 | 5.10 19.6% |
| Under 5 | 4.60 21.7% |
| Under 5.5 | 3.25 30.8% |
| Under 6 | 2.80 35.7% |
| Under 6.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 7 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 7.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 7.00 14.3% | |
| X | 5.60 17.9% |
| 1.32 75.8% |
Full head-to-head historyMetalurg Cherepovec - Sakhalinskie Akuly
The Metalurg Cherepovec - Sakhalinskie Akuly breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
