Tournament Memorial P. Belyaeva. Cherepovets
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Red Machine Atlant — 52%
Model estimate: win Metalurg Cherepovec 48.2%, win Red Machine Atlant 51.8%. Model favourite — Red Machine Atlant.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.95 33.9% | |
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.38 72.5% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| 3.55 28.2% | |
| 3.95 25.3% | |
| 5.00 20.0% | |
| 1.12 89.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 4 | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 5 | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 6 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 6.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 7 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 7.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 8 | 3.15 31.8% |
| Over 8.5 | 3.55 28.2% |
| Over 9 | 4.80 20.8% |
| Over 9.5 | 5.30 18.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 6.00 16.7% |
| Under 4 | 5.40 18.5% |
| Under 4.5 | 4.20 23.8% |
| Under 5 | 3.75 26.7% |
| Under 5.5 | 2.70 37.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| X | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1.20 83.3% |
Full head-to-head historyMetalurg Cherepovec - Red Machine Atlant
The Metalurg Cherepovec - Red Machine Atlant breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
