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Belarus. Friendly
Belarus. Friendly
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Belarus. Friendly

MHC Krylya Sovetov - Sakhalinskie Akuly

Hockey
M
MHC Krylya Sovetov
10 : 4
Finished
S
Sakhalinskie Akuly
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Sakhalinskie Akuly — 52%

1 · MHC Krylya Sovetov48.0%
2 · Sakhalinskie Akuly52.0%

Model estimate: win MHC Krylya Sovetov 48.0%, win Sakhalinskie Akuly 52.0%. Model favourite — Sakhalinskie Akuly.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sakhalinskie Akuly (odds2.08) Score 2:3 Under 6 (odds1.85) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.68) ✗ confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Krylya Sovetov 🇷🇺: forma P (0-1)
  • • Sakhalinskie Akuly 🇷🇺: forma VV (2-0)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • liniya na pik P2 2.02→2.08 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Sakhalinskie Akuly 🇷🇺: probability 52% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
  • • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:3
  • • Total: Under 6: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • • at line 6 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.68).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction MHC Krylya Sovetov - Sakhalinskie Akuly July 28, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: MHC Krylya Sovetov 48.0% / Sakhalinskie Akuly 52.0%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.45 ↓ 1.04
1X2 X 4.80 ↑ 13.00
1X2 2 2.02 ↑ 36.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Form 3 matches
H2H 1
Match center

MHC Krylya Sovetov - Sakhalinskie Akuly

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 10:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 52.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.540 / LogLoss 0.734
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.511 / LogLoss 0.704
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
MHC Krylya Sovetov 90.2% 48.0% market favourite
Draw 7.2% -
Sakhalinskie Akuly 2.6% 52.0% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 48.0% / 52.0% probabilities
Rating 1,261 / 1,790 MHC Krylya Sovetov / Sakhalinskie Akuly
RD 291 / 258 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 680-1,843 / 1,275-2,306 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 48.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 7.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Over 11.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.70 37.0%
1.05 95.2%
4.20 23.8%
1.07 93.5%
1.11 90.1%
2.60 38.5%
6.80 14.7%
4.00 25.0%
4.40 22.7%
1.40 71.4%
9.00 11.1%
1.19 84.0%
6.90 14.5%
5.60 17.9%
1.47 68.0%
6.90 14.5%
1.43 69.9%
7.00 14.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.05 95.2%
Over 3.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 4 1.20 83.3%
Over 4.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 5 1.57 63.7%
Over 5.5 1.04 96.2%
Over 6 2.25 44.4%
Over 6.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 7 3.55 28.2%
Over 7.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 8 4.30 23.3%
Over 8.5 1.16 86.2%
Over 9.5 1.16 86.2%
Over 10.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 11.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 12.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 13.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 14.5 10.00 10.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
X 15.00 6.7%
30.00 3.3%
Match center
MHC Krylya Sovetov
L
23.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
MHC Krylya Sovetov 1:5 Sakhalinskie Akuly 🇷🇺
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Sakhalinskie Akuly
W W
25.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Sakhalinskie Akuly 4:3 MHC Spartak MAH 🇷🇺
23.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Sakhalinskie Akuly 5:1 Krylya Sovetov 🇷🇺
2 Wins
0 Losses
4.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMHC Krylya Sovetov - Sakhalinskie Akuly

MHC Krylya Sovetov
1 matches total
Sakhalinskie Akuly
MHC Krylya Sovetov: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sakhalinskie Akuly: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Sakhalinskie Akuly 🇷🇺 1:5 (23.07 08:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (1:5, 23.07 08:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Krylya Sovetov 🇷🇺
1:5
Sakhalinskie Akuly 🇷🇺