World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Canada U20 - Sweden U20
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Canada U20 — 51%
Model estimate: win Canada U20 51.2%, win Sweden U20 48.8%. Model favourite — Canada U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Sweden U20: forma pp (0-2)
- • Model backs Canada U20: probability 51% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.80)
- • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 3:2
- • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
- • at line 5.5 (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Canada U20 - Sweden U20 July 28, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / X 4.70 / 2 3.35
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Canada U20 - Sweden U20
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 2.70 37.0% | |
| 3.05 32.8% | |
| 4.90 20.4% | |
| 5.60 17.9% | |
| 4.05 24.7% | |
| 3.95 25.3% | |
| 5.30 18.9% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.62 61.7% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.33 75.2% | |
| 1.14 87.7% | |
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 2.65 37.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 4 | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 5 | 1.47 68.0% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 6 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 7 | 3.15 31.8% |
| Over 7.5 | 3.55 28.2% |
| Over 8 | 5.00 20.0% |
| Over 8.5 | 5.60 17.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 5.00 20.0% |
| Under 4 | 4.40 22.7% |
| Under 4.5 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Under 5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Under 5.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Under 6 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| X | 4.70 21.3% |
| 3.35 29.9% |
Canada U20
Sweden U20
Full head-to-head historyCanada U20 - Sweden U20
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form