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World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
28.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Not started

World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies

Canada U20 - Sweden U20

Hockey
Canada U20
Canada U20
- : -
Not started
Sweden U20
Sweden U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Canada U2051%

1 · Canada U2051.2%
2 · Sweden U2048.8%

Model estimate: win Canada U20 51.2%, win Sweden U20 48.8%. Model favourite — Canada U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Canada U20 (odds1.80) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds1.85) confidence 51%
  • Sweden U20: forma pp (0-2)
  • Model backs Canada U20: probability 51% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.80)
  • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 3:2
  • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 5.5 (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Canada U20 - Sweden U20 July 28, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Canada U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / X 4.70 / 2 3.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 52.8%
X 19.7%
2 27.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.80 ↓ 1.75
1X2 X 4.50 ↑ 4.70
1X2 P2 3.31 ↑ 3.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Form 2 matches
Match center

Canada U20 - Sweden U20

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Canada U20 52.8% 51.2% market and model agree
Draw 19.7% -
Sweden U20 27.6% 48.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 51.2% / 48.8% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,299 Canada U20 / Sweden U20
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 718-1,881 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.35 Fonbet · weak value +63.5% · model 48.8%
X 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.75 Fonbet · no value · model 51.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.05 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Over 4 1.17 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.20 83.3%
1.20 83.3%
1.90 52.6%
2.15 46.5%
2.70 37.0%
3.05 32.8%
4.90 20.4%
5.60 17.9%
4.05 24.7%
3.95 25.3%
5.30 18.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.62 61.7%
1.40 71.4%
1.33 75.2%
1.14 87.7%
1.11 90.1%
2.65 37.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.14 87.7%
Over 4 1.17 85.5%
Over 4.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 5 1.47 68.0%
Over 5.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 6 2.05 48.8%
Over 6.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 7 3.15 31.8%
Over 7.5 3.55 28.2%
Over 8 5.00 20.0%
Over 8.5 5.60 17.9%
Under 3.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 4 4.40 22.7%
Under 4.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 5 2.50 40.0%
Under 5.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 6 1.68 59.5%
Under 6.5 1.48 67.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
X 4.70 21.3%
3.35 29.9%
Match center
Canada U20
L L
27.07 21:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Canada U20 1:6 USA White U20
26.07 18:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Canada U20 1:6 USA Blue U20
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
6.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Sweden U20
L L
27.07 21:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Sweden U20 1:6 USA White U20
26.07 18:00 UTC World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies
Sweden U20 1:6 USA Blue U20
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
6.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCanada U20 - Sweden U20

Canada U20
0 matches total
Sweden U20
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history