International Tournament. U20. Canada
USA U20 - Finland U20
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Finland U20 — 51%
Model estimate: win USA U20 48.9%, win Finland U20 51.1%. Model favourite — Finland U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Finland U20: forma VVVVV (5-0)
- • Model backs Finland U20: probability 51% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.61)
- • no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:3
- • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
- • at line 5.5 (odds 1.85)
- • Handicap F1 +1.5: score forecast 2:3 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.75).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction USA U20 - Finland U20 July 28, 2026
Hockey math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.95 / X 4.60 / 2 1.65
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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USA U20 - Finland U20
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.92 52.1% | |
| 1.73 57.8% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 5.00 20.0% | |
| 5.60 17.9% | |
| 3.05 32.8% | |
| 1.78 56.2% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| 2.75 36.4% | |
| 4.50 22.2% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 1.33 75.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 4 | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 4.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 5.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 6 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 7 | 3.25 30.8% |
| Over 7.5 | 3.65 27.4% |
| Over 8 | 5.10 19.6% |
| Over 8.5 | 5.70 17.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 4.80 20.8% |
| Under 4 | 4.30 23.3% |
| Under 4.5 | 2.80 35.7% |
| Under 5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 6 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 3.95 25.3% | |
| X | 4.60 21.7% |
| 1.65 60.6% |
Finland U20
Full head-to-head historyUSA U20 - Finland U20
Match history
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- Win probabilities & value flags
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