AI verdict

AI pick Ermolenko V win probability ~57% confidence Medium

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Ermolenko V. Full breakdown below.

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Belarus. Liga Pro A15. Minsk
Belarus. Liga Pro A15. Minsk International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
31.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Not started

Belarus. Liga Pro A15. Minsk

International

Chertkov D vs Ermolenko V — Table tennis prediction

International Table tennis
Chertkov D
Chertkov D
- : -
Not started
Ermolenko V
Ermolenko V

Chertkov D host Ermolenko V in table tennis, in Belarus. Liga Pro A15. Minsk, on 31 August 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Ermolenko V: roughly 57% to win. Sportsbook prices (1 book) put that result at roughly 58%.

Latest form: Chertkov D 4 won and 1 lost; Ermolenko V 4 won and 1 lost. Chertkov D arrive on a winning run. On the Glicko scale it is 1616 for Chertkov D against 1581 for Ermolenko V - a gap of 35 points. Across 3 recent head-to-head meetings between them, the full record is shown below on this page.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 1-point gap to the market. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 35 Glicko rating points, the model's 57% for Ermolenko V. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Estimate from the market line (no margin)

2 Ermolenko V57%

1 · Chertkov D42.9%
2 · Ermolenko V57.1%

Model estimate: win Chertkov D 42.9%, win Ermolenko V 57.1%. Model favourite — Ermolenko V.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chertkov D - Ermolenko V August 31, 2026

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 2.20 → 2.20
Winner P2 1.60 → 1.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Chertkov D - Ermolenko V

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 3 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

PropickAI math model.Glicko-2 and sport-spetsifichnye pravila dlya predmatchevoy otsenki.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chertkov D 42.1% 42.9%
Ermolenko V 57.9% 57.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

PropickAI math model
P1 / P2 42.9% / 57.1% probabilities
Rating 1,616 / 1,581 Chertkov D / Ermolenko V
RD 78 / 88 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,459-1,773 / 1,406-1,757 strength interval

Glicko-2 and sport-spetsifichnye pravila dlya predmatchevoy otsenki.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.87 53.5%

Match Winner

Outcome Fonbet
2.20 45.5%
1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 73.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 74.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 75.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 76.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 73.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 74.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 75.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 76.5 1.75 57.1%
Match center
Chertkov D
W W W L W
26.08 07:30 UTC Belarus
Chertkov D 3:0 Ermolenko V
26.08 05:00 UTC Belarus
Chertkov D 3:0 Abdeev R
24.08 07:30 UTC Belarus
Chertkov D 3:0 Kuzhovnik S
24.08 06:30 UTC Belarus
Chertkov D 2:3 Abdeev R
21.08 11:00 UTC Belarus
Chertkov D 3:0 Zhelobkovich I
4 Wins
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Ermolenko V
W W L W W
28.08 11:00 UTC Belarus
Ermolenko V 3:0 Andreev D A
28.08 10:00 UTC Belarus
Ermolenko V 3:2 Serdyuk S
26.08 07:30 UTC Belarus
Ermolenko V 0:3 Chertkov D
26.08 05:30 UTC Belarus
Ermolenko V 3:0 Chernyshov A
20.08 07:30 UTC Belarus
Ermolenko V 3:1 Kuzhovnik S
4 Wins
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Chertkov D - Ermolenko V

Chertkov D
3 matches total
Ermolenko V
Chertkov D: 2 (66.7%)
Ermolenko V: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Chertkov D 3:0 (26.08 07:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 sets (3:2, 05.08 06:30 UTC) most sets in a game

Overall statistics

6 Sets scored 5
5 Sets conceded 6

Match history

26.08 07:30 UTC Belarus
Chertkov D
3:0
Ermolenko V
11.08 05:30 UTC Belarus
Chertkov D
0:3
Ermolenko V
05.08 06:30 UTC Belarus
Chertkov D
3:2
Ermolenko V

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Chertkov D vs Ermolenko V?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Chertkov D. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Chertkov D vs Ermolenko V?

Live odds for Chertkov D vs Ermolenko V from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Chertkov D vs Ermolenko V start?

August 31, 2026.