AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Kugurushev D. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Russia. Liga Pro A4. Moscow
Moshnikov O - Kugurushev D
Moshnikov O face Kugurushev D on August 16, 2026 in the Russia. Liga Pro A4. Moscow, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Moshnikov O 3-0-2, Kugurushev D 1-0-4. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Estimate from the market line (no margin)
2 Kugurushev D — 58%
Model estimate: win Moshnikov O 41.9%, win Kugurushev D 58.1%. Model favourite — Kugurushev D.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Moshnikov O: forma VVVPP (3-2)
- • Kugurushev D: forma PVVPV (3-2)
- • ochnye 1 (za 2)
- • liniya na pik P2 1.65→1.70 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
- • Model backs Kugurushev D: probability 54% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.70)
- • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Moshnikov O - Kugurushev D August 16, 2026
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Moshnikov O 41.9% / Kugurushev D 58.1%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Moshnikov O - Kugurushev D
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.
PropickAI math model.Glicko-2 and sport-spetsifichnye pravila dlya predmatchevoy otsenki.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Glicko-2 and sport-spetsifichnye pravila dlya predmatchevoy otsenki.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 2.35 42.6% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| 1.92 52.1% | |
| 2.08 48.1% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 1.77 56.5% | |
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | |
| 2.20 45.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.16 86.2% | |
| 4.60 21.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 47.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 48.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 49.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 50.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 51.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 52.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 53.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 54.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 55.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 56.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 57.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 58.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 59.5 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Over 60.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 61.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 62.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 63.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 100.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
Moshnikov O
Kugurushev D
Full head-to-head history: Moshnikov O - Kugurushev D
Overall statistics
Match history
Kugurushev D
Kugurushev D
Unlock the full match prediction
The Moshnikov O - Kugurushev D breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moshnikov O vs Kugurushev D?
By the PropickAI model, Kugurushev D is favoured — about 58% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Moshnikov O vs Kugurushev D?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Kugurushev D. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
When does Moshnikov O vs Kugurushev D start?
August 16, 2026.