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ATP. Bostad
ATP. Bostad International
1-й круг 14.07.2026 11:00 MSK Match prediction

Dalin M - Baez S

Tennis ATP. Bostad
ATP. Bostad 1-й круг Грунт 14.07.2026 11:00 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 11:00 MSK 1-й круг Finished
Dalin M
Dalin M Швеция Seed 1348
Baez S
Baez S Аргентина Seed 57
1:2
Odds
P1 19.00 5.1% BetBoom
P2 1.02 94.9% BetBoom
Stadium: Бостад Теннис Стэдиум. Coverage: Грунт
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Швеция Country Аргентина
- Rating -
20 Age 25
188 Height (cm) 170
85 Weight (kg) 70
- Hand -
C Seed 8
Грунт Coverage Грунт
0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Dalin M
0% 0 / 0
0% 0 / 0
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
no data
Трава
no data
Хард
no data
Baez S
46% 21 / 46
46% 21 / 46
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
8 из 20
Трава
0 из 1
Хард
13 из 25

Head-to-head history

Бостад
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Baez S — 89%

Pure model vs market (2 · Baez S): model 50% · market 93% Δ −43 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dalin M11.4%
market7%
2 · Baez S ✓ Прогноз88.6%
market93%

Model estimate: win Dalin M 11.4%, win Baez S 88.6%. Model favourite — Baez S.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dalin M - Baez S 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Baez S.

Line favourite Fonbet: Baez S. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 13.50 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Dalin M 11.4% / Baez S 88.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.4%
1 7.0%
2 ✓ Прогноз 93.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 20.00 ↓ 19.00
Победитель П2 1.01 → 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Stadium Бостад Теннис Стэдиум.
Start 14.07.2026 11:00 MSK
Stage 1-й круг
Coverage Грунт
Form 5 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Dalin M - Baez S

Онлайн трансляция теннисного матча Макс Далин - Себастьян Баэс. Бостад. Вся информация: статистика, новости, интервью, фото

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 1 block. officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dalin M 7.2% 11.4%
Baez S 92.9% 88.6% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 11.4% / 88.6% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,550 Dalin M / Baez S
RD 350 / 259 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,032-2,067 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 88.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 15.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +6.5 — 2.10 47.6% —
П1 +7.5 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% —
П2 +0.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
П2 +1.5 — — 1.17 85.5%
П2 +2.5 — — 1.01 99.0%
П2 +3.5 — — 1.02 98.0%
П2 +4.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
П2 +5.5 — — 3.10 32.3%
П2 +6.5 — — 2.80 35.7%
П2 +7.5 — — 2.80 35.7%
П2 +8.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
П2 +9.5 — — 6.80 14.7%
П2 -0.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
П2 -1.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
П2 -6.5 — 1.74 57.5% —
П2 -7.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 15.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 16.5 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 17.5 — 1.90 52.6% 1.40 71.4%
ТБ 18.5 — 2.03 49.3% 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 19.5 — — 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 20.5 — — 1.58 63.3%
ТБ 21.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 22.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 23.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 24.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
ТМ 16.5 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% —
ТМ 17.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
ТМ 18.5 — 1.79 55.9% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 17.00 5.9% 13.50 7.4% 16.00 6.3% 13.00 7.7%
П2 — 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Dalin M
D
13.07.2026 Championat
Dalin M Й. Йеспер де Йонг (Нидерланды) В. Вилюс Гаубас (Литва) · 1-й круг
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Baez S
D D
14.07.2026 Championat
Н. Николай Будков Кьер (Норвегия) LD А. Андреа Пеллегрино (Италия) · 1-й круг Baez S
14.07.2026 Championat
WC М. Макс Далин (Швеция) 8 — С. Себастьян Баэс (Аргентина) Baez S
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDalin M - Baez S

Dalin M
0 matches total
Baez S
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Event
Бостад