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ATP Challenger. Cordenons
ATP Challenger. Cordenons
16.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction

Alcala Gurri M - Angelini L

Tennis ATP Challenger. Cordenons
ATP Challenger. Cordenons clay 16.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
16.07.2026 06:00 UTC Finished
A
Alcala Gurri M
W
Angelini L
Angelini L
W
2:0
Odds
P1 1.18 79.6% BetBoom
P2 4.60 20.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Alcala Gurri M — 76%

Pure model vs market (1 · Alcala Gurri M): model 49% · market 80% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Alcala Gurri M ✓ Прогноз75.9%
market80%
2 · Angelini L24.1%
market20%

Model estimate: win Alcala Gurri M 75.9%, win Angelini L 24.1%. Model favourite — Alcala Gurri M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Alcala Gurri M (odds1.18) confidence 65% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alcala Gurri M - Angelini L 16 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alcala Gurri M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Alcala Gurri M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.14 / 2 4.60
  • Glicko: Alcala Gurri M 75.9% / Angelini L 24.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 ✓ Прогноз 80.1%
2 19.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.20 ↓ 1.14
Победитель П2 4.00 ↑ 4.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Alcala Gurri M
8-2WLLWWWWWWW
scored 1.7conceded 0.6
Angelini L
5-5LWWLLWLWWL
scored 1.1conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 16.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Alcala Gurri M - Angelini L

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Alcala Gurri M 78.9% 75.9% market and model agree
Angelini L 21.2% 24.1%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 75.9% / 24.1% probabilities
Rating 1,647 / 1,687 Alcala Gurri M / Angelini L
RD 181 / 179 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,286-2,008 / 1,328-2,046 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.60 Fonbet · no value · model 24.1%
1 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 75.9%
Total
Over 17.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
П1 -3.5 — 1.32 75.8% —
П1 -4.5 — 1.50 66.7% —
П1 -5.5 1.84 54.4% 1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4%
П1 -6.5 — 2.35 42.6% —
П2 +5.5 1.88 53.2% — 1.89 52.9%
П2 -3.5 — 3.10 32.3% —
П2 -4.5 — 2.45 40.8% —
П2 -5.5 — 1.92 52.1% —
П2 -6.5 — 1.55 64.5% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
ТБ 17.5 — 1.45 69.0% —
ТБ 18.5 — 1.67 59.9% —
ТБ 19.5 1.89 52.9% 1.92 52.1% 1.96 51.0%
ТБ 20.5 — 2.20 45.5% —
ТБ 21.5 — 2.45 40.8% —
ТМ 17.5 — 2.55 39.2% —
ТМ 18.5 — 2.07 48.3% —
ТМ 19.5 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9%
ТМ 20.5 — 1.60 62.5% —
ТМ 21.5 — 1.48 67.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
П1 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8%
П2 4.40 22.7% 4.60 21.7% 4.30 23.3%
Match center
Alcala Gurri M
W
14.07 06:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Alcala Gurri M 2:0 Tabakko Dzh. 🇮🇹
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Angelini L
W
13.07 13:00 UTC Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Angelini L 2:0 Montes de la Torre I. 🇪🇸Montes de la Torre I. 🇪🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage