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ATP Challenger. Cordenons
ATP Challenger. Cordenons
14.07.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

Roncadelli F - Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹

Tennis ATP Challenger. Cordenons
ATP Challenger. Cordenons clay 14.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
14.07.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
R
Roncadelli F
D
Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹
2:1
Odds
P1 2.05 86.4% BetBoom
P2 13.00 13.6% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹 — 55%

Pure model vs market (2 · Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹): model 55% · market 7% Δ +48 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Roncadelli F45.4%
2 · Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹54.6%

Model estimate: win Roncadelli F 45.4%, win Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹 54.6%. Model favourite — Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹 (odds1.72) confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Roncadelli F - Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Roncadelli F.

Line favourite Fonbet: Roncadelli F. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 13.00
  • Glicko: Roncadelli F 45.4% / Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 92.8%
2 7.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.10 ↓ 1.01
Победитель П2 1.65 ↑ 13.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Roncadelli F
8-2WWWWWWWLWL
scored 1.7conceded 0.7
Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹
4-6LWLLLLLWWW
scored 1.0conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated14.07.2026 10:14 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
2 48%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:П1
Per AI data Form:W-L-W-W-L / L-W-W-W-W H2H: 0:0
Claude updated14.07.2026 10:20 UTC
1 43%
2 57% ✓ favourite
Score2:1 (Джустино) Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:Победа Джустино (П2) за 1.73
Qwen updated14.07.2026 10:18 UTC
1 42%
2 58% ✓ favourite
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:Победа Л. Джустино

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 52% 48% 2:1 ТБ 21.5 П1
Claude 43% 57% 2:1 (Джустино) ТБ 22.5 Победа Джустино (П2) за 1.73
Qwen 42% 58% 2:1 ТБ 22.5 Победа Л. Джустино
Match center
Start 14.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Roncadelli F - Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Roncadelli F 45.5% 45.4%
Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹 54.5% 54.6% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 45.4% / 54.6% probabilities
Rating 1,184 / 1,781 Roncadelli F / Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹
RD 220 / 140 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 745-1,623 / 1,501-2,061 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 market consensus · no value · model 54.6%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 45.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 18.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +1.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% —
П1 +2.5 — 1.79 55.9% —
П2 +0.5 — — 1.68 59.5%
П2 +1.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
П2 +2.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
П2 +3.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
П2 +4.5 — — 1.72 58.1%
П2 +5.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
П2 +6.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
П2 -0.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
П2 -1.5 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 2.20 45.5%
П2 -2.5 — 1.90 52.6% 3.40 29.4%
П2 -3.5 — — 9.00 11.1%
П2 -4.5 — — 6.30 15.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 18.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 19.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 20.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 22.5 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 23.5 — — 6.30 15.9%
ТБ 24.5 — — 9.00 11.1%
ТБ 25.5 — — 3.40 29.4%
ТБ 26.5 — — 3.30 30.3%
ТМ 18.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
ТМ 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.86 53.8% —
ТМ 22.5 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 1.01 99.0% 2.02 49.5%
П2 1.71 58.5% 1.69 59.2% 13.00 7.7% 1.71 58.5%
Match center
Roncadelli F
L L L
05.07 10:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Roncadelli F 0:2 Ribecai M. (Ита)Ribecai M. (Ита)
01.07 05:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Брашов (Румыния), грунт
Roncadelli F 0:2 Недич А. (Биг)
28.05 06:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Кошице (Словакия), грунт
Roncadelli F 0:2 Файта П. (Вен)
0 Wins
3 Losses
0.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹
L W W W L
12.07 09:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия), грунт
Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹 1:2 Броска Ф. (Гер)Броска Ф. (Гер)
11.07 09:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия), грунт
Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹 2:0 Дамас М. (Исп)Дамас М. (Исп)
10.07 07:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия), грунт
Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹 2:0 Loge J. (Блг)Loge J. (Блг)
08.07 07:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия), грунт
Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹 2:0 Demanet E. (Блг)
04.07 10:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Troyes (Франция), грунт
Dzhustino L. 🇮🇹 0:2 Фельдбауш К. (Шва)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage