Marrero Curbelo I face Kasnikowski M on August 6, 2026 in the Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland), hard.
Recent form (W-D-L): Marrero Curbelo I 4-0-1, Kasnikowski M 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
π― PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)
2Kasnikowski M β 71%
Pure model vs market (2 Β· Kasnikowski M): model 48% Β· market 73%Ξ β25 ppmodel estimates below the market
71%2
1 Β· Marrero Curbelo I28.6%
market27%
2 Β· Kasnikowski M ✓ Pick71.4%
market73%
Model estimate: win Marrero Curbelo I 28.6%, win Kasnikowski M 71.4%. Model favourite β Kasnikowski M.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
π€AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Kasnikowski M (odds1.28)Score 0:2confidence 71%
•Marrero Kurbelo I
•πͺπΈ β Kasnikovski M
•π΅π± (tennis)
•Marrero Kurbelo I
•πͺπΈ: forma VPVVV (4-1)
•Kasnikovski M
•π΅π±: forma VPPVV (3-2)
•liniya na pik P2 1.30β1.25 (ukorotilas β dengi na pik)
•Model backs Kasnikovski M
•π΅π±: probability 71% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
•no edge over the line (-7 pp) β informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Marrero Curbelo I - Kasnikowski M August 6, 2026
Tennis math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Kasnikowski M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.50 / 2 1.25
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.0%
4 books Β· best price +2.0%
127.2%
2 ✓ Pick72.8%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P13.30β 3.55
Winner P21.30β 1.25
β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Marrero Curbelo I
no data
Kasnikowski M
6-4WWLLWLWWWL
scored 1.5conceded 0.9
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β for reference.
TennisChallenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland), hard
Challenger Men - Singles: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland), hardhard06.08.2026 09:00 UTCNot started
06.08.2026 09:00 UTCNot started
Marrero Curbelo I
WLWWW
K
Kasnikowski M
WLLWW
-:-
Odds
P13.60
26.4% BetBoom
P21.29
73.6% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
PreviewStatisticsBroadcastComments
About the athletes
-Country-
-Rating-
-Age-
-Height (cm)-
-Weight (kg)-
-Hand-
-Seed-
hardCoveragehard
0H2H0
Match center
Start06.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market1 26.3% @ 3.50 / 2 73.7% @ 1.25
Coveragehard
Form6 matches
Match center
Marrero Curbelo I - Kasnikowski M
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market2
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Bookiesapimatch data
source checked
Line depthmatch data
source checked
Present in data
MarketFormMatchParticipantsLineMovementOverview
More needed
H2HChampionat, Flashscore
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko
Tennis math model.
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Marrero Curbelo I26.0%28.6%
Kasnikowski M74.0%71.4%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Tennis math model
P1 / P228.6% / 71.4%
probabilities
Rating1,758 / 1,778
Marrero Kurbelo I. πͺπΈ / Kasnikovski M. π΅π±
RD213 / 123
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,332-2,184 / 1,533-2,023
strength interval
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.25
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 71.4%
13.50
Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 28.6%
Total
Over 20.51.70
Fonbet Β· line only
Over 21.51.88
Fonbet Β· line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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