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ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
03.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Peliwo F - Marrero Curbelo I

Peliwo F face Marrero Curbelo I on August 3, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Marrero Curbelo I — 78%

Pure model vs market (2 · Marrero Curbelo I): model 61% · market 80% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Peliwo F21.7%
market20%
2 · Marrero Curbelo I ✓ Pick78.3%
market80%

Model estimate: win Peliwo F 21.7%, win Marrero Curbelo I 78.3%. Model favourite — Marrero Curbelo I.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Peliwo F - Marrero Curbelo I August 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Marrero Curbelo I. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.50 / 2 1.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 20.4%
2 ✓ Pick 79.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 4.40 ↑ 4.50
Pobeditel P2 1.15 → 1.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki
ATP Challenger. Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
03.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
Peliwo F
Peliwo F
Marrero Curbelo I
Marrero Curbelo I
-:-
Odds
P1 4.90 19.1% BetBoom
P2 1.16 80.9% BetBoom
Coverage: hard
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 03.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 20.4% @ 4.50 / 2 79.6% @ 1.15
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
Match center

Peliwo F - Marrero Curbelo I

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Peliwo F 19.7% 21.7%
Marrero Curbelo I 80.3% 78.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 21.7% / 78.3% probabilities
Rating 1,184 / 1,785 Peliwo F / Marrero Curbelo I
RD 227 / 219 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 729-1,638 / 1,348-2,222 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 78.3%
1 4.50 Fonbet · no value · model 21.7%
Total
Over 18.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 2.20 45.5%
1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.40 71.4%
— — 1.60 62.5%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 2.70 37.0%
1.97 50.8% 1.93 51.8% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 19.5 1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1%
Over 20.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 21.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Under 18.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 19.5 1.97 50.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3%
Under 20.5 — — 1.73 57.8%
Under 21.5 — — 1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
4.70 21.3% 4.90 20.4% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3%
1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Peliwo F
L L L L
16.07 05:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M25 Hillcrest (South Africa), hard
Peliwo F 0:2 Zhombor V. 🇭🇺
08.07 05:30 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Hillcrest 2 (South Africa), hard
Peliwo F 1:2 Dukhan Ch. 🇮🇳
13.06 06:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Vaasa (Finland), hard
Peliwo F 0:2 Dalmasso G. 🇫🇷Dalmasso G. 🇫🇷
02.06 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Centurion 2 (South Africa), hard
Peliwo F 0:2 Kulibali E. (Kot)
0 Wins
4 Losses
0.3 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Marrero Curbelo I
L W W W
23.07 08:30 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Marrero Curbelo I 0:2 Moro Kanyas A. 🇪🇸Moro Kanyas A. 🇪🇸
21.07 06:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain), hard
Marrero Curbelo I 2:0 Mena F. 🇦🇷Mena F. 🇦🇷
20.07 07:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Segoviya (Spain) - Qualifying, hard
Marrero Curbelo I 2:1 Bittun-Kuzmin K. 🇫🇷
14.06 05:00 UTC+0 ITF Men - Singles: M15 Kayseri 4 (Turkey), hard
Marrero Curbelo I 2:0 McKennon M. 🇺🇸
3 Wins
1 Losses
1.5 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
75% Win percentage