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Grodzisk-Mazovetskiy
Grodzisk-Mazovetskiy International
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC

Peliwo F - Marrero Curbelo I

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

Peliwo F take on Marrero Curbelo I on August 4, 2026 in the Grodzisk-Mazovetskiy, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Peliwo F 0-0-5, Marrero Curbelo I 3-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Marrero Curbelo I — 77%

Pure model vs market (2 · Marrero Curbelo I): model 54% · market 80% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Peliwo F22.8%
market20%
2 · Marrero Curbelo I ✓ Pick77.2%
market80%

Model estimate: win Peliwo F 22.8%, win Marrero Curbelo I 77.2%. Model favourite — Marrero Curbelo I.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Peliwo F - Marrero Curbelo I August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Marrero Curbelo I. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.40 / 2 1.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7% 4 books · best price +1.3%
1 20.2%
2 ✓ Pick 79.8%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 4.50 ↓ 4.40
Winner P2 1.15 → 1.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Tennis Grodzisk-Mazovetskiy
Grodzisk-Mazovetskiy grass 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
04.08.2026 08:00 UTC Not started
Peliwo F
Peliwo F
L L L L L
Marrero Curbelo I
Marrero Curbelo I
L W W W L
-:-
Odds
P1 4.80 19.6% BetBoom
P2 1.17 80.4% BetBoom
Coverage: grass
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 20.7% @ 4.40 / 2 79.3% @ 1.15
Coverage grass
Form 4 matches
Match center

Peliwo F - Marrero Curbelo I

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Peliwo F 20.2% 22.8%
Marrero Curbelo I 79.8% 77.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 22.8% / 77.2% probabilities
Rating 1,307 / 1,502 Peliwo F / Marrero Curbelo I
RD 290 / 230 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 726-1,888 / 1,042-1,963 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 77.2%
1 4.40 Fonbet · no value · model 22.8%
Total
Over 19.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 2.20 45.5% —
1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.88 53.2%
— — 1.40 71.4% —
— — 1.60 62.5% —
— — 2.00 50.0% —
— — 2.75 36.4% —
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% — 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 19.5 1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5%
Over 20.5 — 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% —
Over 21.5 — — 2.20 45.5% —
Under 19.5 1.97 50.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%
Under 20.5 — 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% —
Under 21.5 — — 1.58 63.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
4.50 22.2% 4.80 20.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.70 21.3%
1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Peliwo F
L L L L L
2026-06-02 2026 Centurion 2, South Africa
Peliwo F Peliwo F 0:2 Coulibaly E
2026-05-26 2026 Centurion, South Africa
Peliwo F Peliwo F 1:2 Azkara A
2026-04-26 2026 Jiujiang, China, Qualifying
Peliwo F Pearson K 2:0 Peliwo F
2026-04-07 2026 Wuning, China
Peliwo F Peliwo F 0:2 Wendelken H
2026-02-08 2026 Tenerife 2, Spain, Qualifying
Peliwo F Fomin S 2:0 Peliwo F
0 Wins
5 Losses
0.2 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Marrero Curbelo I
L W W W L
2026-07-23 2026 Segovia, Spain
Moro Canas A 2:0 Marrero Curbelo I Marrero Curbelo I
2026-07-21 2026 Segovia, Spain
Marrero Curbelo I 2:0 Mena F Marrero Curbelo I
2026-07-20 2026 Segovia, Spain, Qualifying
Marrero Curbelo I 2:1 Bittoun Kouzmine C Marrero Curbelo I
2026-07-19 2026 Segovia, Spain, Qualifying
Marrero Curbelo I 2:0 Collar E Marrero Curbelo I
2026-05-09 2026 Brazzaville, Republic of Congo
Hemery C 2:1 Marrero Curbelo I Marrero Curbelo I
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage